667
FXUS65 KLKN 240807
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
107 AM PDT TUE MAR 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RECORD WARMTH IS EXPECTED IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
THRU WEDNESDAY
* DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THRU THE WEEKEND
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1245 AM PDT TUE MAR 24 2026
THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT UPDATES ARE
REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: UPPER LEVEL RIDGE AXIS WILL BE AT ITS
MAXIMUM THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL RESULT IN A REPEAT OF WARM
AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WITH READINGS IN THE LOW 70S TO LOW 80S.
WINDS WILL BE A BIT BREEZY DURING THE AFTERNOON, WITH SOUTHWEST TO
WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH, GUSTING 35 TO 40 MPH, PARTICULARLY
ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA WHERE WINDS WILL BE STRONGEST. THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS WILL REMAIN QUIET WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S
AND WINDS TRENDING LIGHT TO CALM.
MODELS CONTINUE TO DEPICT THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE TO SHIFT TO THE
EAST AND BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF NEW MEXICO AND
NORTHERN MEXICO ON WEDNESDAY. LOOK FOR WESTERLY AFTERNOON BREEZES
WITH WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH AND GUSTS 35 TO 40 MPH. HIGHS
DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WILL RISE INTO THE LOW 70S TO LOW 80S. MORE
OF THE SAME IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT WITH QUIET WEATHER
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE LOW 30S TO LOW 40S.
HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED TO DECREASE, WITH WESTERLY FLOW DOMINATING THURSDAY.
A RATHER DISTINCT COOL DOWN IS LOOKING INCREASINGLY LIKELY, WITH
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 60S AND 70S. THOUGH THIS COOL
DOWN IS EXPECTED TO BRING TEMPERATURES TEN TO FIFTEEN DEGREES
LOWER THAN WEDNESDAY`S HIGHS, IT IS STILL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS
TIME OF YEAR. WINDS WILL BE OCCASIONALLY BREEZY, WITH NORTHWEST TO
NORTH WINDS GUSTING TO 25 MPH. LOOK FOR QUIET AND DRY TO CONTINUE
THURSDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S.
ON FRIDAY, MODELS ARE SHOWING WEAK TROUGHING OVER THE WEST COAST,
BUT CONDITIONS REMAIN DRY AND WARM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN WARMER THAN
NORMAL. WEATHER CONTINUES TO LOOK RATHER UNEVENTFUL THRU THE
WEEKEND. THOUGH WELL OFF IN THE DISTANCE, MODELS ARE TRYING TO
WORK MOISTURE INTO THE FORECAST AREA BEGINNING ON MONDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROF FINALLY PROGRESSES THRU THE GREAT BASIN.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
IS VERY HIGH. MINIMAL CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM FORECAST.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS. WINDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN TERMINALS DURING THE AFTERNOON
WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS AROUND 25KT.
WINDS ACROSS THE CENTRAL NEVADA TERMINALS ARE EXPECTED TO BE MUCH
LESS, STAYING AROUND 15KT OR LESS.
CLIMATE
RECORDS CONTINUE TO FALL ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
AND THE NEXT TWO DAYS WILL KEEP THIS TREND INTACT. HERE IS THE CURRENT
ROUND OF FORECAST VERSUS RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES (INCLUDING THE YEAR
THEY WERE SET) FOR MARCH 24 AND 25:
MARCH 24:
KEKO: 72/1956 79
KELY: 72/1908 79
KP68: 71/2022 81
KTPH: 75/2022 83
KWMC: 76/2022 80
MARCH 25:
KEKO: 77/2022 80
KELY: 74/2022 80
KP68: 76/2022 82
KTPH: 79/2022 83
KWMC: 80/2022 80
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
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