277
FXUS65 KLKN 260807
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
107 AM PDT THU MAR 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* NEAR TO RECORD WARMTH CONTINUES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA THRU THE WEEKEND
* STRONG WINDS OVER NORTHERN NV EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
* DRY WEATHER WILL PERSIST THRU THE WEEKEND
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 1256 AM PDT THU MAR 26 2026
THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT UPDATES WERE
REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: FOR THE FIRST TIME IN OVER A WEEK,
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES ARE NOT FORECAST FOR TODAY, THE
RESULT OF A COLD FRONT SKIRTING NORTHERN NEVADA. THE RELIEF WILL
BE SHORT LIVED HOWEVER, AS SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES, ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO RETURN TO THE 70S FOR THE WEEKEND. COOLING
CONTINUES TO BE FORECAST TO START NEXT WEEK AS LONG RANGE MODELS
REMAIN CONSISTENT WITH AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STRENGTHENING JUST
OFF THE PACIFIC COAST. INITIALLY THIS SYSTEM WILL FUNNEL PACIFIC
MOISTURE ONSHORE, BEFORE BEGINNING TO TRAVEL ONSHORE TO DIRECTLY
IMPACT THE FORECAST AREA BY MIDWEEK. PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL
REMAINS SIGNIFICANT, WITH THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA HAVING A 15%
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION DURING AT LEAST ONE SIX HOUR PERIOD MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH MUCH STRONGER POTENTIAL IN NORTHERN
NEVADA.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TEMPORARY
COOLING THEN CONTINUED NEAR TO RECORD TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND. LOW TO MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN PRECIPITATION FOR THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK, WITH LOW CONFIDENCE IN ONSET TIMING. BLENDED
NBM WITH NBM 25TH IN THE USUAL COLD VALLEYS FOR TONIGHT’S LOW
TEMPERATURES AS BASE NBM HAS BEEN RUNNING WARM AGAIN.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS WITH BREEZES GUSTING TO AROUND 25KT AT ALL SITES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
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