504
FXUS65 KLKN 271825
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1125 AM PDT FRI MAR 27 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RECORD WARMTH ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON
* RECORD WARMTH IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY
AFTERNOON
* TURNING COOLER MONDAY AND TUESDAY
* PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW ARE LIKELY MONDAY
EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SILVER STATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE UPCOMING
WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE SIX TO EIGHT DEGREES WARMER THAN YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON. NEAR RECORD WARMTH IS EXPECTED IN ELY AND TONOPAH THIS
AFTERNOON. MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND TWENTY DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. RECORD WARMTH IS EXPECTED ACROSS ALL OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY AFTERNOON WILL BE
SIXTEEN TO EIGHTEEN DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES. RECORD WARMTH
IS ANTICIPATED IN THE MAJORITY OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD THROUGH SOUTHERN
IDAHO MONDAY. PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THIS TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
SHOULD REACH NORTHERN NEVADA MONDAY EVENING. PERIODS OF VALLEY
RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW ARE LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL START AT AROUND 8,000 FEET MONDAY EVENING,
BEFORE DROPPING TO ABOUT 6,000 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. THE MAJORITY
OF THIS PRECIPITATION WILL FALL TUESDAY EVENING AND TUESDAY NIGHT.
HERE ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN OR MORE FOR
SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT:
WELLS - 75%
SPRING CREEK - 70%
ELKO - 55%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 55%
CARLIN - 55%
WINNEMUCCA - 50%
AUSTIN - 50%
ELY - 45%
EUREKA - 45%
WEST WENDOVER - 20%
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF BREAK IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES WEDNESDAY,
BEFORE THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING RECORD WARMTH ACROSS ALL OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN RECORD WARMTH IN
MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGH
FORECAST CONFIDENCE REGARDING A COOLING TREND MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
MODERATE FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW MONDAY EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. NO DEVIATIONS
FROM THE NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH AT LEAST THE
NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH GENTLE BREEZES.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
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