265
FXUS65 KLKN 280855
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
155 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RECORD WARMTH THIS WEEKEND
* COOLER WITH PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW BEGINNING
MONDAY NIGHT
* UNSETTLED WEATHER THRU NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 143 AM PDT SAT MAR 28 2026
THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK. NO SIGNIFICANT UPDATES WERE
REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
NORTHWARD ACROSS THE SILVER STATE THIS WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES
THROUGHOUT NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE FIFTEEN TO TWENTY
DEGREES WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WESTERLY
AFTERNOON BREEZES WILL ALSO BE PRESENT TODAY AND SUNDAY WITH GUSTS
25 TO 35 MPH.
A TROF OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD THRU SOUTHERN IDAHO
MONDAY. PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THIS TROF SHOULD REACH NORTHERN
NEVADA MONDAY EVENING. PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW
ARE LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT THRU TUESDAY NIGHT. SNOW LEVELS WILL
START AT AROUND 8,000 FEET MONDAY EVENING, BEFORE DROPPING TO
ABOUT 6,000 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. THE MAJORITY OF THIS
PRECIPITATION WILL FALL TUESDAY EVENING AND TUESDAY NIGHT. HERE
ARE PROBABILITIES OF ONE TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN OR MORE FOR
SELECT LOCATIONS IN NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT:
WELLS - 75%
SPRING CREEK - 70%
ELKO - 55%
BATTLE MOUNTAIN - 55%
CARLIN - 55%
WINNEMUCCA - 50%
AUSTIN - 50%
ELY - 45%
EUREKA - 45%
WEST WENDOVER - 20%
THERE MAY BE A BRIEF BREAK IN PRECIPITATION CHANCES WEDNESDAY,
BEFORE THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. A
COOLING TREND IS EXPECTED MONDAY THRU THURSDAY. BY THURSDAY
AFTERNOON, MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA
WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER THAN NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING RECORD WARMTH THIS WEEKEND. HIGH FORECAST CONFIDENCE
REGARDING A COOLING TREND MONDAY AND TUESDAY. MODERATE FORECAST
CONFIDENCE IN PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW BEGINNING MONDAY
EVENING AND PERSISTING THRU THE WEEK. MODEST DEVIATIONS FROM THE
NBM MODEL OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THRU THE
NEXT 24 HOURS. WESTERLY AFTERNOON BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT WITH
GUSTS 20KT TO 25KT FORECAST.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
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