501
FXUS65 KLKN 281918
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1218 PM PDT SAT MAR 28 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* RECORD WARMTH THIS WEEKEND
* COOLER WITH PERIODS OF VALLEY RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW BEGINNING
MONDAY NIGHT
* UNSETTLED WEATHER THRU NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: ONE FINAL HANDFUL OF BROKEN HIGH
TEMPERATURE RECORDS IS IN THE FORECAST FOR TODAY AND TOMORROW
BEFORE A COOLER AND WETTER PATTERN TAKES HOLD THIS COMING WEEK.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
IN THE 30S TONIGHT AND TOMORROW NIGHT. THE FIRST WAVE OF
PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING UPPER LEVEL TROUGH
ARRIVES MONDAY AFTERNOON IN NORTHERN NEVADA, SPREADING INTO
CENTRAL NEVADA OVERNIGHT. SNOW LEVELS ALSO DROP TO BETWEEN 6-7000
FEET DURING THIS PERIOD, BEFORE RETURNING TO AROUND 8000 FEET
DURING THE DAY ON TUESDAY. THE MAJORITY OF PRECIPITATION IS STILL
EXPECTED TO FALL TUESDAY EVENING AND NIGHT. CONDITIONS DRY OUT
SOMEWHAT FOR WEDNESDAY AS THE FIRST WAVE EXITS DURING THE MORNING
HOURS AND THE SECOND WAVE MAKES ITS ENTRY DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. THIS SECOND WAVE LOOKS SLIGHTLY DRIER BUT MUCH COLDER
THAN THE FIRST, WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING TO AROUND FIVE DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL BY FRIDAY. SNOW LEVELS DROP TO 5000 FEET OR LESS WITH
THIS SYSTEM AND AS A RESULT VALLEY LOCATIONS MAY SEE SOME SNOW ON
THURSDAY, ALTHOUGH MEANINGFUL ACCUMULATION SEEMS UNLIKELY AT THIS
TIME. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CLEAR THE AREA BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY LONG RANGE GUIDANCE IS SHOWING SIGNS OF A
RETURN TO UPPER LEVEL RIDGING, INCLUDING WARMING TEMPERATURES AND
CLEARING SKIES, FOR NEXT WEEKEND.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CONTINUED
NEAR TO RECORD WARMTH TODAY AND TOMORROW. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
COOLING CONDITIONS AND PRECIPITATION FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY BUT
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN SNOW LEVELS AND RAIN/SNOW TRANSITION
LOCATIONS. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND IMPACTS OF THE SECOND
ROUND OF PRECIPITATION WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. NO CHANGES
FROM BASE NBM OUTPUT.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE NEXT
24 HOURS. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 25KT WILL IMPACT KELY AND KEKO THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING. WEAK SHOWERS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE
AROUND KELY DURING THIS TIME, AND ARE EXPECTED TO QUICKLY DIE OFF
ONCE THE SUN BEGINS TO SET.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...94
AVIATION...94
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