869
FXUS65 KLKN 162157
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
257 PM PDT THU APR 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* GUSTY WINDS AND SNOWFALL WILL PRODUCE MINOR TRAVEL IMPACTS,
PRIMARILY ACROSS NORTHERN NEVADA.
* GENERALLY FAIR WEATHER IN PLACE FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY, THOUGH
BREEZES WILL BE PRESENT SUNDAY
* NEXT WEATHER SYSTEM MOVES IN EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: MAIN WEATHER FEATURE IS AN UPPER LOW
THAT IS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN CANADA AND THE NORTHERN ROCKIES AT
THIS TIME. A COLD FRONT PUSHED THROUGH EARLIER AND IN ITS WAKE,
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WILL BE SEEING A CONTINUATION OF
BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY CONDITIONS AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
FOR TONIGHT, THE WIND ADVISORY WILL BE ALLOWED TO CONTINUE OVER
NORTHWESTERN NYE COUNTY. LOOK FOR SKIES TO CLEAR FROM WEST TO EAST
AS A DRIER AIR MASS MOVES IN. AS A RESULT, OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
QUITE CHILLY WITH READINGS IN THE TEENS AND 20S.
FOR TOMORROW, NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE FORECAST AREA AS
AN UPPER RIDGE TRIES TO MOVE EAST FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC. SKIES
WILL BE SUNNY WITH SOME MODERATION IN HIGH TEMPERATURES. READINGS
WILL BE IN THE 50S AND 60S. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT. QUIET WEATHER
CONTINUES FOR THE OVERNIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING WITH LOWS IN
THE TEENS AND 20S.
ON SATURDAY, HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO RISE AS THE AIR MASS WARMS OVER
THE FORECAST AREA. SUNNY SKIES WILL BE THE RULE WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES REBOUNDING INTO THE 60S TO EVEN A FEW 70S. WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT FOR THE MOST PART. QUIET AND DRY WEATHER
CONTINUES INTO THE OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS DIPPING INTO THE 20S AND
30S.
THE RIDGE AXIS WILL SHIFT EAST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA WITH
SOUTHWEST FLOW COMMENCING. WARMER AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES ARE
EXPECTED WITH READINGS IN THE 60S AND 70S. THE AFTERNOON WILL BE A
BIT BREEZY WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTS TO 35
MPH. IT WILL BE A DRY AND WARM NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH
LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
MODELS ARE SHOWING A CUTOFF LOW TRYING TO MOVE EAST. AT THIS TIME,
CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THE FORWARD PROGRESSION OF THIS FEATURE
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HAVE KEPT THE NBM FORECAST AS-IS WITH HIGHS IN
THE 60S AND 70S MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH HIGHS DROPPING INTO THE
50S AND 60S ON WEDNESDAY. LOWS WILL BE IN THE 30S AND 40S ON
TUESDAY, DROPPING INTO THE 20S AND 30S WEDNESDAY MORNING.
DEPENDING ON THE POSITION OF THE CUTOFF LOW, IT COULD BE A WINDY
TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM
FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH IN SLOWLY WARMING AND DRIER
CONDITIONS FOR THE WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IS VERY LOW WITH RESPECT TO
THE TIMING AND IMPACTS OF THE INCOMING AFOREMENTIONED UPPER
TROUGH FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
SKIES WILL GRADUAL SCATTER ACROSS THE KEKO AND KENV
TERMINALS THIS EVENING WITH ALL SITES BECOMING VFR. WINDS WILL
REMAIN STRONG OUT OF THE NORTHWEST THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING BUT
WILL DIMINISH AT ALL LOCATIONS EXCEPT KTPH-KELY-KENV. STRONG
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO GUST INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT
HOURS, ESPECIALLY AT KTPH AND KENV. WINDS AT THESE TAF LOCATIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO RELAX BY 12Z TOMORROW.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY NVZ040.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
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