754
FXUS65 KLKN 010912
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
212 AM PDT FRI MAY 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* WARMING TREND THROUGH SUNDAY
* STRONG, GUSTY SOUTH WINDS IN CENTRAL NEVADA THIS WEEKEND
* WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION RETURNS EARLY NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 158 AM PDT FRI MAY 1 2026
THE CURRENT FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK AND NO SIGNIFICANT UPDATES
ARE REQUIRED.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S.
WILL PRODUCE FAIR WEATHER TODAY WITH A WARMING TREND CONTINUING
THRU THE WEEKEND. DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WIDESPREAD IN
THE 70S THIS WEEKEND. A CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL ALSO RESIDE
ALONG THE CALIFORNIA COAST SATURDAY AND LOOKS TO MOVE ONSHORE
LATE SUNDAY. INITIAL IMPACTS WILL BE FELT SUNDAY AFTERNOON, WITH
GUSTY SOUTH WINDS AROUND 30 TO 35 MPH IN CENTRAL NEVADA AND
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. PRECIPITATION WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE THEME FOR THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK, WITH PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATON AROUND 50-70%
THRU TUESDAY NIGHT, AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAN
BE EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE PRESENT AT HIGH
ELEVATION, BUT SNOW LEVELS REMAIN WELL ABOVE 8000 FEET THRU EARLY
NEXT WEEK AND SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS DUE TO SNOW ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED. THE LOW BEGINS TO EXIT THE AREA TO THE EAST TUESDAY
NIGHT, ALTHOUGH A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS CAN’T BE COMPLETELY RULED
OUT FOR WEDNESDAY, PRIMARILY OVER THE HIGH TERRAIN. CURRENT MODEL
GUIDANCE INDICATES HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN THE LATTER HALF OF
NEXT WEEK, HOWEVER THIS IS CURRENTLY A HIGH VARIANCE, LOW
CONFIDENCE SOLUTION.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WARMING
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THIS WEEKEND. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN BREEZY
TO GUSTY CONDITIONS ON SUNDAY, AND WET CONDITIONS SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS EXPECTED AT ALL
TERMINALS THRU FRIDAY NIGHT.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...92
AVIATION...92
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