094
FXUS65 KLKN 110815
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
115 AM PDT THU JUN 11 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* FAIR WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
* VERY WARM TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:
FAIR WEATHER, WARMING TEMPERATURES, AND LIGHT TO BREEZY AFTERNOON
WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK AS NV REMAINS IN BETWEEN AN
OFFSHORE RIDGE, AND A NORTHERN PLAINS TROUGH. TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY THE RIDGE WILL BUILD EASTWARD OVER THE WEST COAST, THIS
WILL PUSH THE TROUGH SLOWLY EASTWARD AS WELL. THIS WILL CAUSE
HEIGHTS TO RISE OVER NEVADA, AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TO RELAX
SOME ALLOWING FOR THE WESTERLY AFTERNOON WINDS TO RUN AT 10 MPH TO
20 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. THE OTHER NOTABLE
CHANGE WILL BE THE WARM-UP OF TEMPERATURES THIS WEEK INTO THE
NEXT. HIGH TEMPERATURES LOOK TO WARM FROM THE LOW 80S TO LOW 90S
THURSDAY, BACK INTO THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S BY NEXT WEDNESDAY.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL ALSO WARM, RISING BACK INTO THE UPPER 40S TO
UPPER 50S BY SUNDAY MORNING. MODELS ARE HINTING AT DEVELOPING A
SHORTWAVE UPPER TROUGH SOMEWHERE OVER THE NW US LATE SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY OF NEXT WEEK. MODELS ARE STILL WAVERING ON THE LOCATION OF
THIS TROUGH, WITH LITTLE TO NO RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY IN EITHER
THE GFS OR ECMWF ENSEMBLES. STILL EVEN WITH THE PROXIMITY OF THIS
TROUGH, BOTH MODEL SUITES KEEP NV DRY WHILE SHIFTING WINDS OUT OF
THE NORTH, AND ENHANCING WIND SPEEDS TO 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE. ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE SILVER STATE.
THIS WILL HAVE TO BE WATCHED FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR FIRE
WEATHER/WIND HEADLINES FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE FOR QUIET, DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS WITH
WARMING TEMPERATURES LASTING THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE THE PRIMARY FLIGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY. WINDS WILL BE WNW AT 10KT TO 20KT WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 30KT POSSIBLE.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS EAST. WHILE ALLOWING FOR THE WESTERLY
WINDS RELAX A BIT DURING THE AFTERNOONS, AT 10 TO 20 MPH WITH A
FEW GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. HOWEVER, THIS WILL BE OFFSET BY
DRIER LOWER RH CONDITIONS, AND WARMING TEMPERATURES PEEKING IN THE
UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S BY NEXT WEDNESDAY. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL
FOR A UPPER TROUGH TO TRANSIT NV LATE SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY. AT
THIS TIME PASSAGE LOOKS DRY WITH WIND SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AT 15
MPH TO 25MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH POSSIBLE.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM PDT THIS MORNING NVZ031-039.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...98
FIRE WEATHER...98
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