277
FXUS65 KLKN 122053
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
153 PM PDT FRI JUN 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* FAIR WEATHER AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND.
* CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING WITH RESPECT TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES BY EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: SKIES ARE SUNNY ACROSS A MAJORITY OF
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW, HIGH-BASED
CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEVADA THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS ARE OCCASIONALLY BREEZY. THE QUIET WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BE WOBBLING OUT IN THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITH
WEAK TROUGHING SETTING UP ACROSS CALIFORNIA ON SATURDAY.
CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN DRY ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA BUT
A FEW BUILDUPS CAN BE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA. NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE
WEST AND NORTHWEST WITH SOME AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 25 MPH OR SO.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 80S AND 90S. DRY AND QUIET WEATHER EXPECTED
FOR THE NIGHT TIME WITH LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE SETTLING OVER CENTRAL CALIFORNIA
ON SUNDAY. LIMITED INSTABILITY AND A SLOW MOISTURE SEEP IN THE LOW
TO MID-LEVELS WILL BRING A LOW PROBABILITY (TEN PERCENT) OF
ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN WHITE PINE
COUNTY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE 80S AND 90S WITH
LOWS IN THE 40S AND 50S.
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, HEIGHTS WILL SLOWLY RISE DURING THIS TIME
PERIOD. AS SUCH, TEMPERATURES WILL EXPERIENCE SLIGHT WARMING WITH
HIGHS REACHING THE UPPER 80S TO MID 90S WITH DRY CONDITIONS.
HEATRISK WILL NEED TO BE EXAMINED, ESPECIALLY ON TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY, FOR POSSIBLE HEAT HEADLINES IN ZONE 033. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE IN THE 40S AND 50S THROUGH THIS TIME.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: TWEAKS WERE MADE TO THE NBM
FORECAST FOR SUNDAY WITH REGARDS TO THE INTRODUCTION OF ISOLATED
DRY THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST WHITE PINE COUNTY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
CONFIDENCE IN THE PLACEMENT AND COVERAGE OF ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORMS IS LOW AT THIS TIME. CONFIDENCE IS CURRENTLY HIGH
WITH THE DRY AND WARMING CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE IN THE UPCOMING HEAT FOR THE
MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS LOOK TO BE THE PRIMARY FLIGHT CONDITIONS THROUGH
THE UPCOMING 24 HOURS. WINDS CONTINUE TO BE OUT OF THE WEST AND
NORTHWEST 10-15G20-25KT FOR THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
DIMINISHING LATER THIS EVENING. EXPECT THE WINDS TO REDEVELOP
TOMORROW AFTERNOON W-NW10-15G20-25KT.
FIRE WEATHER
LOOK FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS EAST. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO
15 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED. AN ISOLATED DRY
THUNDERSTORM (FIVE TO TEN PERCENT) CANNOT BE RULED OUT ACROSS
SOUTHEAST ZONE 425 SATURDAY. A QUICK MOVING TROUGH PASSING TO THE
NORTH WILL SHIFT WINDS OUT OF THE NORTH SUNDAY AND MONDAY, BUT SPEEDS
REMAIN SIMILAR. LIMITED MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY WILL TRY TO MAKE
ITS WAY INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTIONS OF ZONE 425 SUNDAY AFTERNOON
WITH A TEN PERCENT PROBABILITY OF ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS NEAR
GREAT BASIN NATIONAL PARK. WARMING TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE, RISING
INTO THE UPPER 80S TO UPPER 90S BY EARLY TO MIDDLE PORTIONS OF NEXT
WEEK.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86
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