926
FXUS65 KLKN 240944
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
244 AM PDT WED JUN 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* A FEW DEGREES COOLER THIS AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S
TO MID 90S
* INCREASING CLOUDS TODAY WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER MAINLY NORTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL NV
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY DUE TO
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY, STRONGEST WINDS ON SATURDAY
* MUCH COOLER THIS WEEKEND WITH LOWS IN THE MID 30S TO LOW 40S
DISCUSSION
(TODAY THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: MID-LEVEL MOISTURE IN COMBINATION WITH
WEAK INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
CUMULUS BUILD-UPS ACROSS MAINLY CENTRAL AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF
THE CWA TODAY WHERE THERE IS A 20% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA WILL HAVE A 5 TO 10% CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING WILL BE
MAINLY CONFINED TO EASTERN ELKO AND WHITE PINE COUNTIES. AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CURRENTLY NEAR THE GULF OF ALASKA IS PROJECTED TO DRIFT
SE ALONG THE CANADIAN COASTLINE OVER THE COMING DAYS. THE RESULT
OF WHICH WILL BE INCREASINGLY STRONGER AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING
WINDS ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV. STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ON SATURDAY WHEN THERE WILL BE A 30-60% CHANCE OF ADVISORY LEVEL
(>45MPH) WIND GUSTS ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NV. MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND AS THE UPPER LEVEL
LOW CENTERS ACROSS THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW CONFIDENCE IN SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY. MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN
STRONGER WINDS LATER THIS WEEK, WITH STRONGEST WINDS SATURDAY.
SLIGHT DEVIATION UPWARD FOR THUNDERSTORM CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING OVER WHAT THE NBM SUGGESTED.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT ALL FORECAST TERMINALS
TODAY AND TONIGHT. MOSTLY CLEAR EARLY THIS MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. THERE WILL BE A 20% CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
FOR KEKO, KENV AND KELY THIS AFTERNOON, WITH AROUND A 10% CHANCE
AT KBAM AND 5% FOR KWMC AND KTPH. WINDS GUSTS FROM ANY
THUNDERSTORM OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES COULD REACH 45 MPH. OTHERWISE,
W-SW WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING IN THE 10 TO 20 KNOT
RANGE WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 KNOTS.
FIRE WEATHER
MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY THIS MORNING WITH BUILDING CLOUDS
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. ISOLATED DRY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL NV THIS
AFTERNOON. BEST CHANCES (10-20%) OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ACROSS
ZONES 469, 470 AND 425, HOWEVER THERE IS A 10% CHANCE OF DRY
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF ZONES 426 AND 427 THIS
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO DIMINISH FROM WEST TO
EAST BY THIS EVENING, WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LINGERING ACROSS MAINLY ZONES 470 AND 425 INTO THE MID-EVENING HOURS.
A STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING THE REGION LATER THIS WEEK WILL RESULT IN
STRONGER AFTERNOON AND EVENING WINDS ACROSS ALL ZONES BOTH FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ACROSS MUCH OF NORTHERN NV
WITH THE INCOMING SYSTEM. AREAS OF CONCERN FRIDAY WILL BE MAINLY
ZONES 470 425 427 AND EASTERN 426 WHERE GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RHS ARE
EXPECTED. STRONGEST WINDS ARE STILL EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WITH
RHS NEAR OR BELOW 15% ACROSS ZONES 425, 426, 427 AND THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF 470. AT THIS TIME A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR FRIDAY REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR ALL ZONES EXCEPT 437. WHETHER OR NOT TO REMOVE ANY ZONES
WILL BE ADDRESSED THIS AFTERNOON, ALONG WITH MORE ATTENTION TO
POTENTIAL CRITICAL WIND/RH CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR
NVZ 424, 425, 426, 427, 438, 469, AND 470
DISCUSSION...96
AVIATION...96
FIRE WEATHER...96
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