174
FXUS65 KLKN 132018
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
118 PM PDT SUN SEP 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ELEVATED RISK OF WILDFIRES IN MOST OF NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
NEVADA THROUGH THIS EVENING
* COOLING TREND CONTINUING INTO MONDAY
* NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES IN THE COLDEST VALLEYS OF NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEVADA TONIGHT
DISCUSSION
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA IS
CURRENTLY SITTING SOUTH OF AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST. THIS SETUP IS BRINGING BREEZY TO LOCALLY WINDY
CONDITIONS TO THE REGION. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE COMING
IN COOLER VERSUS YESTERDAY WITH READINGS IN THE 70S. LOOK FOR THE
WINDS TO SUBSIDE DURING THE EVENING WITH A COLD NIGHT AHEAD WITH
LOWS IN THE 20S AND 30S.
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, THE AREA WILL BE UNDER A DRY SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT. CONDITIONS WILL GENERALLY BE DRY WITH LIGHT WINDS
EXCEPT FOR EAST-CENTRAL NEVADA. WINDS ACROSS WHITE PINE COUNTY
WILL BE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH
EACH AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S FOR TUESDAY AND WARMING
INTO THE 70S AND 80S WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
IN THE 30S AND 40S.
BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY ALL MODELS ARE DEPICTING AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DIVING TO THE SOUTH. THIS WILL BRING BREEZY AFTERNOON WINDS
WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S AND 80S. AT THIS TIME, THE AIRMASS IS
ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN
THE 30S.
ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, EXPECT CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S AND 80S AND LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM
FORECAST. CONFIDENCE IS HIGH REGARDING COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH
MONDAY. MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE EXISTS DURING MID-WEEK AS
TEMPERATURES GRADUALLY WARM, CLIMBING TO AT OR JUST ABOVE NORMAL
CONDITIONS.
AVIATION
LOOK FOR VFR CONDITIONS AT ALL TERMINALS OVER THE NEXT 24 HOUR
PERIOD. WINDS WILL REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING
TODAY THOUGH THE TERMINAL AT KENV WILL SEE LOCALLY WINDY
CONDITIONS INTO THE EARLY MORNING HOURS. MUCH LIGHTER WIND
EXPECTED TOMORROW AT ALL TERMINALS.
FIRE WEATHER
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EXIST FOR FWZS 425/469/470 FOR THE
REST OF SUNDAY EVENING WHERE SUSTAINED WINDS OF 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
NEAR 30 MPH ARE FORECAST. COMBINED WITH BORDERLINE RH VALUES
CONDITIONS WILL EXIST FOR FIRE STARTS AND EXTREME FIRE
GROWTH/BEHAVIOR. THE THREAT FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS IS
MINIMAL MONDAY AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...99
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