699
FXUS65 KLKN 141924
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1224 PM PDT MON SEP 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN CENTRAL NEVADA TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY
* WARMING TREND TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
* LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS ALONG THE OREGON, IDAHO BORDER WITH
NEVADA WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
DRY PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK AS NEVADA REMAINS
UNDER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. THE UPPER PATTERN LOOKS TO REMAIN
CONSISTENT FOR THE WEEK AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL TROUGHS PASS
THROUGH THE PACIFIC NW. THIS ACTIVE PATTERN TO OUR NORTH WILL KEEP
A VERY LOW 10% TO 15% CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS ACROSS THE ID/OR/NV
BORDER AS EACH TROUGH PASSES THROUGH, THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
CLOSE TO SEASONAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR, YET WINDS OVER CENTRAL
NEVADA ELEVATED WHICH WILL BRING FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FOR
TUESDAY, WEDNESDAY, AND THURSDAY FOR THE US 50 CORRIDOR.
TEMPERATURES FOR THE WEEK WILL RUN IN THE UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S
FOR HIGHS, WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER 40S.
WINDS FOR NORTHERN NEVADA WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST TO SOUTHWEST AT
5 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. FOR CENTRAL NEVADA WINDS WILL
BE STRONGER OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AT 20 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
45 MPH POSSIBLE. COMBINED WITH LOW RH VALUES IN THE AFTERNOONS
THIS WILL LEAD TO ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
FOR WHITE PINE, N NYE, S EUREKA, AND S LANDER COUNTIES MID WEEK.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN DRY CONDITIONS WITH SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEK.
THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN BREEZY TO STRONG SW WINDS TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY FOR CENTRAL NEVADA AS AN UPPER TROUGH PASSES
THROUGH OR/ID.
THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE IN A 10% TO 15% CHANCE FOR ISOLATED
SHOWERS WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY FOR FAR NORTHERN NEVADA.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. AFTERNOON WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND NO PRECIPITATION IS
FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
FIRE WEATHER
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FOR
CENTRAL NEVADA THIS WEEK AS BREEZY TO STRONG SW WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WINDS OF 20 TO 35 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE US 50 CORRIDOR.
HOWEVER THE KEY LIMITING FACTORS FOR FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
BE FUELS FOR ZONE 425, AND MIN RH VALUES REMAINING ABOVE 15% FOR
MOST LOCATIONS. WILL NEED TO WATCH RH TRENDS AS FUELS REMAIN CURED
FOR 426, AND 427. FOR NORTHERN NEVADA FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LOOK
TO BE LOW THROUGH THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND AS A PAIR OF UPPER TROUGHS
PASSING TO THE NORTH LOOK TO KEEP WINDS LOW, AND TEMPERATURES
NEAR TO, TO BELOW NORMAL, AS WELL AS A LOW CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
ACROSS THE FAR NORTH.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...98
AVIATION...99
FIRE WEATHER...98
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