620
FXUS65 KLKN 242149
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
249 PM PDT THU SEP 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* FAIR WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WITH
AFTERNOON BREEZES. MUCH STRONGER WINDS ARE IN STORE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY
* TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY COOL EACH AFTERNOON BEGINNING FRIDAY
AND LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
* A FIFTEEN TO THIRTY-FIVE PERCENT PROBABILITY FOR RAIN SHOWERS
EXPECTED SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT BUT AMOUNTS WILL BE ON THE
LIGHT SIDE.
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: SKIES ARE MOSTLY SUNNY OUT THERE ACROSS
THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA. THERE ARE A FEW MID CLOUDS HANGING
AROUND CENTRAL NEVADA BUT NOT ENOUGH TO BLOCK OUT THE PLENTIFUL
SUNSHINE.
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEVADA IS SITTING WEST OF AN UPPER RIDGE IN
NORTHERN UTAH. THIS FEATURE WILL SLIDE TO THE EAST AND NORTH
DURING THE OVERNIGHT. THE WEATHER WILL REMAIN QUIET TONIGHT WITH
LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL BE DIVING TO THE SOUTH AND EAST FRIDAY.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHWEST WITH
SPEEDS GUSTING FROM 30 TO 40 MPH. A FEW LOCALES COULD SEE GUSTS TO
45 MPH BUT EFFECTS WILL REMAIN LOCALIZED. PATCHY BLOWING DUST IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON THAT COULD DROP THE VISIBILITY TO
THREE MILES OR SO. AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE 70S
AND 80S. LOOK FOR THE WINDS TO DIMINISH DURING THE EARLY TO MID
PORTIONS OF THE EVENING. OVERNIGHT LOWS TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE 30S AND 40S.
THE MAIN UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN WELL NORTH OF NEVADA FOR SATURDAY.
SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA WHICH MEANS DRY
CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST. WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE STRONG AGAIN
ACROSS CENTRAL NEVADA WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL COOL SEVERAL DEGREES WITH READINGS IN THE 70S
AND 80S ONCE AGAIN. NO PRECIPITATION AND LIMITED CLOUDINESS IS
EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND
40S.
ANOTHER WAVE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE WESTERN UNITED STATES
SUNDAY. THIS ONE IS FURTHER SOUTH THAN THE PREVIOUS TROUGH AND
WILL BE MOVING ON SHORE IN CALIFORNIA DURING THE AFTERNOON. SKIES
WILL BECOME PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY DURING THE DAY WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT WITH
MOST VALLEY LOCALES SEEING NOTHING UP TO FIVE HUNDREDTHS OF AN
INCH. HIGHS WILL AGAIN COOL BY A DEGREE OR SO WITH READINGS
GENERALLY IN THE 70S. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE 40S.
THE UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE ITS EASTWARD PROGRESSION MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. THE DEEPEST MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN FAR EAST AND
SOUTH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS CLIPPING
THE EASTERN AND EAST-CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA,
INCLUDING WHITE PINE COUNTY. HIGHS BOTH AFTERNOONS WILL BE IN THE
70S WITH LOWS IN THE 30S AND 40S.
THE FLOW REMAINS WESTERLY FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY, WHICH MEANS
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO WARM A FEW DEGREES
EACH DAY WITH READINGS IN THE 70S AND 80S. LOWS WILL BE IN THE
30S AND 40S.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: ONLY MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE
TO THE WIND AND WIND GUST GRIDS FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
OTHERWISE, NO OTHER CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE NBM.
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH FOR THE STRONG WINDS FRIDAY AND SATURDAY
AFTERNOON, ALONG WITH SLIGHT COOLING EACH DAY. MEANWHILE,
CONFIDENCE IN THE LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS INCREASES TO MODERATE FOR
SUNDAY, THOUGH PLACEMENT OF ACTIVITY AND AMOUNTS REMAIN LOW. THIS
INCLUDES THE ACTIVITY SEEN MONDAY AS WELL. THERE IS MODERATE TO
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE RETURN OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING FOR THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK RESTORING QUIET AND DRY PATTERN OVER NEVADA.
AVIATION
VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE DOMINANT FLIGHT CATEGORY
THROUGH THE UPCOMING 24 HOUR PERIOD. WINDS WILL INCREASE LATE
TOMORROW MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL TERMINALS WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 25 TO 35 KNOTS. PATCHY BLDU WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
REDUCTIONS TO 3SM IN THE MOST DENSE DUST. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AFTER
26/03Z.
FIRE WEATHER
LOOK FOR ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR FRIDAY ACROSS THE
NORTHERN FIRE ZONES 424, 437, 438, 469, AND 470. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY
WITH SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH, BUT MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL GENERALLY BE AT OR ABOVE 15%. FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, ELEVATED
FIRE CONDITIONS WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD WITH FIRE ZONES 425, 426, AND
427 BEING MOST AFFECTED. WINDS WILL GUST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES RIGHT AROUND 15% OR HIGHER. SOME
LOCALES COULD SEE SLIGHTLY LOWER RH'S TO 12%, BUT THE AREAL
COVERAGE WILL NOT BE ENOUGH TO WARRANT CRITICAL HEADLINES.
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL COOL A DEGREE OR TWO EACH DAY.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...86
AVIATION...86
FIRE WEATHER...86
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page