933
FXUS65 KLKN 141927
AFDLKN
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
1227 PM PDT WED OCT 14 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* COLD TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
* WARMING TREND THIS WEEK LEADS TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THIS
WEEKEND
* STORM SYSTEM EXPECTED TO IMPACT AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK
DISCUSSION
(THIS EVENING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: CLEAR SKIES AND DRIER CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO COOL TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
WILL REMAIN AROUND 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WITH LOWS HOVERING
AROUND THE LOW 20S. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD
OVER OUR AREA BRINGING WITH IT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, DRIER
CONDITIONS, AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. HIGHS FOR THE REST OF
THE WEEK WILL REMAIN IN THE UPPER 60S, WITH SOME AREAS PEAKING IN
THE LOW 70S THIS WEEKEND.
LOOKING AHEAD IN TO NEXT WEEK, A POLAR JET WILL BE MAKING ITS WAY
IN TO OUR REGION, BRINGING WITH IT THE CHANCE FOR WINTER WEATHER
AND COLDER TEMPERATURES. A COLD FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH WILL REDUCE OUR HIGHS BACK TO THE 40S AND 50S, AS
WELL AS BRING WITH IT THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ON MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO BRING OUR LOWS DOWN
INTO THE 20S AND 30S NEXT WEEK. WHILE THESE LOWS BRING US THE
SLIGHTEST BIT OF HOPE AT BUILDING THE FIRST SNOWMAN OF THE SEASON,
CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THIS FORECAST IS STILL
LOW AS IT IS STILL BEYOND THE FORECAST PERIOD.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: HIGH CONFIDENCE IS IN THE
FORECAST FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IS IN
THE FORECAST FOR THE COOLING TEMPERATURES EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW
CONFIDENCE REMAINS IN THE TIMING AND INTENSITY OF THE FRONT AND
ITS ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION CHANCES EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO
DEVIATIONS FROM THE NBM AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
NORTH/NORTHWEST GUSTY WINDS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON RANGING 22–25KTS,
WILL DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET AT KTPH, KELY, AND KENV TERMINALS. VFR
CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS ALL TERMINALS FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. NO PRECIPITATION IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON
FIRE WEATHER
DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THIS WEEKEND.
WIND SPEEDS AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW FIRE
WEATHER THRESHOLDS.
LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
DISCUSSION...90
AVIATION...90
FIRE WEATHER...94
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