526
FXUS63 KLMK 281926
AFDLMK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
326 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON/EVENING SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY THROUGH
MONDAY.
* LESS HUMID CONDITIONS ARRIVE NEXT WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
* INDEPENDENCE DAY LOOKS OPTIMISTIC WITH A SCATTERED CHANCE FOR
NON-SEVERE SHOWERS AND STORMS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 326 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025
THIS AFTERNOON... SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER
THE REGION. THIS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNSET BEFORE DISSIPATING.
THESE STORMS ARE VERY DISORGANIZED AND PULSE-Y WHICH WILL BRING SOME
GUSTY WINDS, LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY RAIN.
TONIGHT... CALM TO LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT AND SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID-
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL HELP FOR FOG TO DEVELOP IN THE EARLY MORNING. FOG
MAY BECOME DENSE IN AREAS THAT SAW RAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND
IN PROTECTED VALLEY AREAS.
SUNDAY... FOG WILL THIN AND LIFT WITHIN A FEW HOURS OF SUNRISE.
WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, CONTINUING TO USHER IN
WARM, MOIST AIR. DIURNAL CONVECTION IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE
AFTERNOON, REMAINING DISORGANIZED. GUSTY WINDS, LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNSET. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE MID-UPPER 80S WITH DEW POINTS IN THE LOW 70S.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 326 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025
SUNDAY NIGHT - MONDAY NIGHT...
ON MONDAY, A TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION, BRINGING BETTER
FORCING AND SHEAR TO A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS THAT HAS BEEN
OVER THE REGION FOR SEVERAL DAYS. STORMS MAY BECOME A LITTLE MORE
ORGANIZED THAN WHAT WE SAW OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS. SPC HAS A
MARGINAL OVER THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE REGION, WHICH MAKES SENSE.
GUSTY TO DAMAGING WINDS, SMALL HAIL, LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY RAIN WILL
BE POSSIBLE IN THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
TUESDAY - THURSDAY...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION, ALLOWING DEW POINTS TO
DROP AND CONDITIONS TO BECOME MORE COMFORTABLE. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN NEAR NORMAL IN THE MID-UPPER 80S. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER
THE REGION, HELPING TO KEEP CONDITIONS DRY AND SKIES MOSTLY SUNNY.
INDEPENDENCE DAY - NEXT WEEKEND...
ANOTHER TROUGH MAY BRUSH THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE REGION LATE WEEK,
BRINGING A SCATTERED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS. FOLLOWING, WE
WILL SEE BRIEF HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION BEFORE IT PUSHES EAST
OF THE REGION AND PRECIP CHANCES INCREASE AGAIN. INDEPENDENCE DAY
CONTINUES TO LOOK OPTIMISTIC WITH JUST A SCATTERED CHANCE FOR NON-
SEVERE SHOWERS AND STORMS AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 137 PM EDT SAT JUN 28 2025
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER THE REGION AND WILL
IMPACT THE TERMINALS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AS THE SUN SETS THIS
EVENING, SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DISSIPATE. MOST OF THE NIGHT WILL
FEATURE CALM TO LIGHT WINDS AND INCREASING MID-LEVEL SKIES. IN THE
EARLY MORNING, THERE IS A SIGNAL FOR SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG,
ESPECIALLY IN AREAS WITH RECENT RAINFALL. FOG WILL BURN OFF WITH
SUNRISE AND AS WINDS PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS IS EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SRW
LONG TERM...SRW
AVIATION...SRW
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