382
FXUS63 KLMK 081906
AFDLMK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
306 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2025
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY AND PLEASANT WEATHER EXPECTED THIS WEEK WITH A GRADUAL
WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES.
* NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN LIKELY NOT ARRIVING UNTIL NEXT SUNDAY OR
MONDAY.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 306 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2025
QUIET WEATHER ONGOING THROUGH THE SHORT TERM AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OF OUR REGION. LOOKING FOR A MOSTLY
CLEAR AND QUIET NIGHT WITH PERHAPS SOME VALLEY FOG IN THE EASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE CWA. OUTSIDE OF THAT, LOOK FOR ANOTHER DRY DAY ON
TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES STILL BELOW NORMAL. MAX TS WILL BE A FEW
DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY WITH VALUES MOSTLY IN THE LOWER 80S FOR FOR
HIGHS. SURFACE WINDS SWITCH AROUND TO A LIGHT SE COMPONENT, SO WON'T
HAVE THAT NE SURFACE WIND HURTING HEATING POTENTIAL AS MUCH.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 306 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2025
TUESDAY NIGHT - MONDAY...
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH MID WEEK, ALTHOUGH WITH A SHORTWAVE
TROUGH AXIS PUSHING THROUGH THE AREA, CAN'T COMPLETELY RULE OUT A
FEW LIGHT SPRINKLES OR VERY LIGHT SHOWERS ON THURSDAY. POPS WILL
STAY "SILENT" (LESS THAN 15%). TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND WITH HIGHS
IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S BY WEDNESDAY, THEN UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. UPPER RIDGE WILL START TO BUILD IN BY THEN,
WITH PATTERN RECOGNITION SUGGESTING THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPS ABOVE
NORMAL.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS
UPPER RIDGING TRIES TO HOLD AGAINST A CLOSED LOW SAGGING INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. TEMPS REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME PERIOD
WITH HIGH CONTINUING IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. BY LATER SUNDAY
INTO MONDAY, A WEAK COOL FRONT EXTENDING FROM THE EASTERN GREAT
LAKES CLOSED LOW WILL SAG INTO OUR AREA. THIS FEATURE SHOULD BE
FAIRLY MOISTURE STARVED, BUT A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS MAY BE POSSIBLE.
WILL KEEP THE DRY FORECAST GOING, BUT ADVERTISING HIGHER POPS AROUND
10% FOR THE MOMENT SEEMS REASONABLE. SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPS BACK IN
THE MID TO UPPER 80S BY MONDAY LOOK LIKE A GOOD BET.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 211 PM EDT MON SEP 8 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THIS FORECAST CYCLE WITH HIGH
PRESSURE IN CONTROL. LOOK FOR A FEW CUMULUS AROUND 6 K FEET THIS
AFTERNOON WITH A STEADY ENE TO NE SURFACE WIND. WINDS GO LIGHT AND
VARIABLE TONIGHT, AND THEN PICK UP AGAIN LIGHT OUT OF THE SE ON
TUESDAY.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SHORT TERM...BJS
LONG TERM...BJS
AVIATION...BJS
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