131
FXUS63 KLMK 091716
AFDLMK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
116 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2025
..UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY AND PLEASANT WEATHER EXPECTED THIS WEEK TEMPERATURES WARMING
INTO THE UPPER 80S TO THE 90S BY THE WEEKEND
* NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN LIKELY NOT ARRIVING UNTIL EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 440 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2025
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OUR PLEASANT AND DRY WEATHER FOR ANOTHER
DAY. ONCE AGAIN WE WILL SEE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND TEMPERATURES
STILL A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY CONTINUE TO SHIFT EASTWARD ALLOWING FOR OUR
WINDS TO BECOME MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST. THIS WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO BE A BIT WARMER THAN THE PAST FEW DAYS WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS APPROACHING THE LOW TO NEAR 80 DEGREES. IT REMAINS
CLEAR AND WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 50S OVERNIGHT.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 440 AM EDT TUE SEP 9 2025
OVERALL, THE FORECAST THROUGH THE LONG TERM FEATURES DRY CONDITIONS
WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING BACK TO AROUND 90 DEGREES. THE UPPER AIR
PATTERN WILL FEATURE AN AMPLIFYING RIDGE DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL
CONUS AND EXPANDING NORTHWARD TOWARDS THE UPPER MIDWEST AND THE OHIO
VALLEY. AS THIS RIDGE EXPANDS, IT WILL SHIFT A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AXIS
THROUGH THE REGION ON THURSDAY. THE FORECAST STILL REMAINS DRY, BUT
AS WAS MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION, THERE IS A 10 PERCENT
OR LESS CHANCE OF SEEING PRECIPITATION.
AS HEIGHTS INCREASE WITH THE BUILDING RIDGE, TEMPERATURES WILL START
TO CLIMB HIGHER REACHING THE MID 80S FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK,
WITH MID/UPPER 80S FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AND 90S RETURNING BY THE
WEEKEND. MAYBE OUR BEST CHANCE, AS OF NOW, FOR SEEING ANY
PRECIPITATION COMES EARLY NEXT WEEK WHEN A RELATIVELY WEAK COLD
FRONT WORKS IN FROM THE NORTHWEST. GIVEN THE OVERALL LACK OF
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM, POP APPEAR TO BE AROUND 15 TO
20 PERCENT MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES REMAIN WARM BUT
SLIGHTLY COOLER, INTO THE UPPER 80S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 116 PM EDT TUE SEP 9 2025
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL WITH VFR EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS TAF CYCLE. LOOK FOR LIGHT AND MOSTLY SE SURFACE WINDS
THIS AFTERNOON, BEFORE GOING MOSTLY CALM OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL SWING
AROUND BY MID TO LATE MORNING TO A SW AND THEN W COMPONENT AT THE
END OF THIS CYCLE. OTHER THAN A FEW MID AND HIGH CLOUDS, SKIES
SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SHORT TERM...BTN
LONG TERM...BTN
AVIATION...BJS
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