861
FNUS73 KLMK 122140
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR NPS ABLI...USWFS/NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
540 PM EDT THU MAR 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON MARCH 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
UPPER MIDWEST THURSDAY EVENING BEFORE MOVING THROUGH MICHIGAN AND
INTO ONTARIO FRIDAY. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTH
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY ON FRIDAY, WITH GUSTS AS HIGH
AS 40-45 MPH EXPECTED. MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER SHOULD ONLY ALLOW RH
VALES TO DROP TO AROUND 40% BY THE AFTERNOON, AND THE COMBINATION
OF COMBINATION OF DEEP MIXING AND STRONG WINDS WILL SUPPORT SMOKE
DISPERSION IN THE EXCELLENT RANGE FOR FRIDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........50 AT FORECAST START...MIN 37.
RH..................34 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5
TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 0 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 6 TO 14
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN
INCREASING TO 17 TO 24 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................47 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL /33600 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.
MIN...POOR /200 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........13 6 9 28 24 24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............50 46 41 40 38 38
RH..............34 43 50 52 57 59
20 FT WIND......NW 3 W 1 S 2 S 3 S 6 S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.6 2 4 8 11 18
MIX HGT (FT)....3400 500 100 500 800 1200
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 W 6 SW 6 S 8 S 14 S 21
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............47 3 3 4 9 19
SDSPL KT-FT/100034 2 1 3 10 21
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 61.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST WITH GUSTS
TO AROUND 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 31 MPH INCREASING TO 37 TO 43
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 33 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................28 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 114 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (35500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (123400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (137600
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........35 40 40 38 25 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39 41 45 52 58 59
RH..............57 53 51 44 42 44
20 FT WIND......S 11 SW 13 SW 16 SW 19 SW 17 W 15
20 FT WIND GUST.22 27 30 29 26 23
MIX HGT (FT)....1600 2100 2600 3300 4300 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 25 SW 26 SW 37 SW 43 W 39 W 37
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............28 52 81 108 111 114
SDSPL KT-FT/100036 48 82 123 145 164
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 15 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................74 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (88800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........8 11 9 16 23 32
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............59 55 49 45 42 39
RH..............44 53 61 68 73 79
20 FT WIND......W 10 W 6 W 3 W 2 NW 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.18 13 6 5 4 4
MIX HGT (FT)....3700 800 300 400 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 28 W 15 W 10 NW 9 N 9 N 7
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 4
ADI.............74 10 5 4 4 3
SDSPL KT-FT/100089 10 3 3 3 2
FORECASTER...BEN
REQUESTED BY...DOUG SPROUSE FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2605555.0/LMK
.DELDT 03/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES_SPROUSE@NPS.GOV
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