842
FNUS73 KLMK 130951
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR NPS ABLI...USWFS/NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
551 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES
TODAY WILL BRING STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ACROSS KENTUCKY. SUSTAINED WINDS
TO AROUND 20 MPH ARE LIKELY FROM MID-MORNING THOUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH
WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH EXPECTED. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE A LITTLE
MORE UNCERTAIN TODAY COMPARED TO YESTERDAY, AS INCREASING CLOUDS AND MOISTURE
ALOFT MAY LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR MIXING DOWN TO THE SURFACE. WITH THE
STRONG WINDS COMBINED WITH REASONABLE MIXING DEPTHS, DISPERSION VALUES
WILL BE IN THE EXCELLENT RANGE, AND ANY SMOKE PLUMES SHOULD BE CARRIED QUICKLY
OFF TO THE NORTH AND EAST TODAY. TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM INTO THE LOW-TO-MID
60S THIS AFTERNOON, AND NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
WINDS SHOULD BECOME MUCH LIGHTER TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES BACK OVER THE
AREA, WITH SIMILAR TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED ON
SATURDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT FORECAST START...MAX 62.
RH..................54 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 9 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...INCREASING TO 5100
FT AGL BY MID-AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 29 TO 36
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 36 TO 43 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
DECREASING TO AROUND 32 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................16 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 110 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /15200 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.
MAX...EXCELLENT /95400 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (115300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........52 59 42 41 28 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............39 40 46 54 59 62
RH..............54 55 47 40 38 37
20 FT WIND......S 9 SW 12 SW 16 SW 19 SW 18 W 15
20 FT WIND GUST.14 21 27 31 30 26
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1200 2100 3100 4000 5100
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 SW 22 SW 36 SW 43 W 38 W 36
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............16 31 71 104 105 110
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 23 65 115 131 157
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL BEFORE SUNSET, BECOMING 300 FT AGL
BY LATE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 26 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 9 TO 15
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH 8 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................71 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (87500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........16 17 8 3 2 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61 57 50 45 42 40
RH..............41 47 58 68 70 73
20 FT WIND......W 11 W 5 W 3 NW 2 NW 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.17 9 6 5 4
MIX HGT (FT)....3800 800 300 300 300 300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 26 W 15 NW 10 NW 9 N 9 N 8
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3
ADI.............71 7 5 4 4 4
SDSPL KT-FT/100088 11 3 3 3 2
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 65.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12 TO 14
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 63 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (45700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........25 35 41 42 37 37
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............38 36 43 53 61 65
RH..............76 79 67 52 44 43
20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 E 3 E 4 SE 4 SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 6 7 7 7
MIX HGT (FT)....300 400 900 1800 2800 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 E 10 E 13 E 12 SE 10 S 13
LVORI...........4 4 3 2 1 1
ADI.............4 11 15 26 37 59
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 3 10 18 26 43
FORECASTER...CSG
REQUESTED BY...DOUG SPROUSE FMO
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2605555.1/LMK
.DELDT 03/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAMES_SPROUSE@NPS.GOV
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