993  
FNUS73 KLMK 131217  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 5...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
817 AM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS WELL TO THE NORTH OF  
THE AREA TODAY, WITH A TRAILING COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE REGION THIS  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED WITH THIS SYSTEM;  
HOWEVER, STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, WITH WIDESPREAD  
30 TO 40 MPH WIND GUSTS AND SCATTERED 40 TO 50 MPH GUSTS LIKELY THROUGH  
THIS AFTERNOON. IT IS LESS CERTAIN THAT RH VALUES WILL DROP LIKE THEY  
DID YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AS THERE WILL BE MORE CLOUD COVER AND LESS DRY  
AIR ALOFT TO MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE. STILL, ANY SOUTH OR WEST ASPECTS  
WHICH SEE BREAKS IN THE MID-LEVEL CLOUDS COULD SEE RH VALUES FALL INTO THE  
20S. OTHERWISE, GIVEN THE STRONG WINDS AND FAIRLY DEEP MIXING DEPTHS,  
DISPERSION PARAMETERS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE EXCELLENT RANGE TODAY.  
DRY WEATHER SHOULD CONTINUE INTO SATURDAY, WITH MUCH WEAKER WINDS AND  
SHALLOWER MIXING HEIGHTS EXPECTED TOMORROW.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 59.  
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 37 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6600 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 31 TO 37 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 40  
TO 46 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /50500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...EXCELLENT /114400 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (163600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................58 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 157 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 65 60 47 55 43 44 52 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............42 44 47 51 54 56 58 58 59  
RH..............53 55 53 52 48 47 44 40 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 12 12 12 12 11 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 25 26 26 25 25 25 22 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.4 3.2 4.2 5.3 6.1 6.5 6.6 6.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.31 37 41 45 46 46 46 44 40  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............58 79 102 127 144 153 157 149 134  
SDSPL KT-FT/100051 78 114 164 210 242 261 250 216  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.  
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 18  
MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 TO 35 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 14 TO 21  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (153500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO GOOD (85900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT DECREASING TO FAIR (44400 KNOT-FT) EARLY  
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO POOR (2200  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................107 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........36 43 42 29 43 38 38 40 29 25 19 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............57 56 53 50 48 46 43 41 39 38 37 35  
RH..............38 40 43 46 49 53 62 65 70 73 72 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 7 6 5 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 11 11 9 8 8 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 3.7 2.5 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.35 26 21 17 16 15 15 14 14 12 9 8  
LVORI...........1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 4  
ADI.............107 36 28 8 11 7 7 6 6 5 4 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000154 86 44 26 18 13 9 6 5 4 3 2  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56.  
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST 8 TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO MARGINAL (31500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 45 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........30 42 30 48 60 71 72 74 75 74 74 73  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............35 35 33 35 38 42 46 49 52 54 55 56  
RH..............75 75 82 75 67 60 53 48 44 43 43 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E E E E E E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 13 14  
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
ADI.............4 8 8 8 11 14 17 23 30 37 42 45  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 3 4 5 7 9 12 16 20 25 30 32  
 
 
FORECASTER...WFO LMK  
REQUESTED BY...CASEY MEFFORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605621.0/LMK  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CASEY_MEFFORD@FWS.GOV  
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