602
FNUS73 KLMK 131933
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR TEEPLE GLADE PRESCRIBED FIRE...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
333 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
THE GUSTY WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER MICHIGAN WILL BEGIN TO DECREASE THIS EVENING
AS THE LOW DEPARTS TO THE EAST TOWARDS ONTARIO. CONDITIONS ON
SATURDAY WILL BE CALM, WITH MUCH LOWER MIXING HEIGHTS IN
COMPARISON TO TODAY. ANOTHER STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
DEVELOP OVER THE PLAINS SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE MOVING TOWARDS THE
MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY ON SUNDAY. HIGHER MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED
DUE TO WIDESPREAD SOUTHERLY WIND GUSTS OF 30-40 MPH FORECAST, WITH
A FEW ISOLATED AREAS OF HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. CHANCES FOR RAIN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON
BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /17300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...MARGINAL /34100 KNOT-FT/.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................26 TO 48.
TIME (EDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........36 32 19
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............48 54 59
RH..............46 38 34
20 FT WIND......E 4 E 4 SE 4
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8
MIX HGT (FT)....1900 2500 3200
TRANSPORT WIND..E 10 SE 9 SE 12
LVORI...........2 2 1
ADI.............26 29 45
SDSPL KT-FT/100017 20 32
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 TO 34.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........20 18 7 12 27 48
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61 56 53 52 52 53
RH..............38 49 54 59 63 66
20 FT WIND......SE 4 E 4 E 4 SE 5 S 5 S 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 9 11
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 400 300 400 300 600
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 12 E 9 SE 12 SE 13 S 13 S 16
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3
ADI.............34 4 5 6 6 14
SDSPL KT-FT/100023 3 3 4 4 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 39 TO 46 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (100900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (139300
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................15 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 147 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........64 77 78 81 87 84
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............55 56 61 65 69 71
RH..............66 69 67 63 57 53
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 8 S 12 S 15 S 15 S 15
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 20 22 25 27
MIX HGT (FT)....800 1200 2600 4100 5200 5500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 20 S 29 S 39 S 45 S 46
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1
ADI.............15 29 63 109 140 147
SDSPL KT-FT/100012 20 64 139 203 219
FORECASTER...BEN
REQUESTED BY...JESSE MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605683.0/LMK
.DELDT 03/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JESSE_MOORE@TNC.ORG
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