576  
FNUS73 KLMK 132203  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE CELINE DAM...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
603 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT THAT WILL ARRIVE  
SUNDAY NIGHT, NORTHEAST TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN AS  
THEY VEER TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. BY SUNDAY, THEY WILL BE OUT OF THE  
SOUTH AND VERY STRONG, AROUND 40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL ALSO CONTINUE  
TO IMPROVING FROM OVER 3,000 FEET TOMORROW TO JUST UNDER 6,000 FEET  
SUNDAY. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE. SUNDAY NIGHT, THE  
FRONT WILL BRING A LINE OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.  
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) AT IGNITION.  
MAX...FAIR (41600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 59 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........19 32 42 39 28 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............38 37 41 49 56 60  
RH..............64 64 57 44 37 36  
20 FT WIND......NE 2 NE 2 E 2 E 4 SE 4 SE 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 8 8 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 1200 2000 2500 3200  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 E 10 E 13 E 13 E 12 SE 14  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1  
ADI.............4 11 21 32 37 55  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 5 14 22 26 39  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.  
RH..................MAX 72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (30400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (6900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................5 TO 44.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........16 12 16 22 29 52  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............61 56 53 52 53 54  
RH..............39 53 59 66 69 69  
20 FT WIND......SE 3 SE 2 SE 3 SE 3 SE 4 S 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 9 9 10 11  
MIX HGT (FT)....2500 800 700 700 600 800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 E 12 SE 14 SE 15 S 14 S 16  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............44 5 6 7 6 11  
SDSPL KT-FT/100030 8 8 9 7 11  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.  
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 37 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 17 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 47 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (14300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (77100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (197400  
KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................12 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 149 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........65 70 71 75 82 81  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............55 56 61 66 71 72  
RH..............69 72 72 63 53 51  
20 FT WIND......S 4 S 6 S 9 S 10 S 10 S 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 18 21 22 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 1400 3000 4400 5200 5400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 17 S 20 S 30 S 40 S 46 S 46  
LVORI...........3 3 3 1 1 1  
ADI.............12 35 95 117 144 145  
SDSPL KT-FT/100014 23 77 155 209 214  
 
 
FORECASTER...KDW  
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY KOLAKS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605705.0/LMK  
.DELDT 03/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PAUL.FOUNTAIN@USDA.GOV,JEREMY.KOLAKS@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.THORNTON@USDA.GOV  
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