532  
FNUS73 KLMK 132220  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 16...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
620 PM EDT FRI MAR 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
SATURDAY, NORTHEAST TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BEGIN TO  
STRENGTHEN AS THEY VEER TOWARDS THE SOUTHEAST. BY SUNDAY, THEY WILL  
BE OUT OF THE SOUTH AND VERY STRONG, AROUND 45 MPH. MIXING HEIGHTS  
WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO IMPROVING FROM OVER 3,000 FEET TOMORROW TO JUST  
UNDER 6,000 FEET SUNDAY. SMOKE DISPERSION WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE.  
SUNDAY NIGHT, A COLD FRONT WILL BRING A LINE OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........38 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.  
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 12  
TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7100 KNOT-FT) AT IGNITION.  
MAX...MARGINAL (31800 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................10 TO 45.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........52 41 45 42 38 35 43 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............38 41 45 47 50 53 54 55  
RH..............64 57 51 45 42 38 38 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 9 10 12 13  
LVORI...........3 2 2 2 2 1 1 1  
ADI.............10 14 17 23 29 36 42 45  
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 10 12 16 20 25 30 32  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.  
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7900 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................6 TO 37.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 42 45 36 36 32 40 47 55 58 62 65  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............55 53 51 50 49 48 48 48 48 48 48 49  
RH..............40 45 50 52 52 54 54 56 58 63 71 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 9 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE E E E E E SE SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 14 15 15 15 16 16 16 17 17  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
ADI.............37 9 9 6 7 7 7 11 11 11 12 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100026 19 11 9 9 10 9 10 9 8 8 8  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.  
RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 43 TO 47 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (92200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (133700  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................12 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 152 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........68 72 75 76 78 79 80 81 82 81 79 78  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 51 52 55 58 61 64 67 69 70 71 71  
RH..............77 77 77 77 75 72 67 63 61 59 57 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 7 9 9 10 10 10 11 11 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 13 15 17 18 20 21 22 22 22 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.8 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 21 23 26 31 37 43 46 47 46 44  
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............12 19 25 48 76 107 104 128 145 152 149 140  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 10 17 32 58 92 134 179 212 230 228 213  
 

 
FORECASTER...KDW  
REQUESTED BY...CASEY MEFFORD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605707.0/LMK  
.DELDT 03/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CASEY_MEFFORD@FWS.GOV  
 
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