206
FNUS73 KLMK 140929
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE CELINE DAM...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
529 AM EDT SAT MAR 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION TODAY, WHICH
WILL KEEP DRY WEATHER AND MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FOR TODAY. AMPLE
MIXING WILL HELP TO BRING DRIER AIR ALOFT DOWN TO THE SURFACE. IN
THE AFTERNOON, MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE AROUND 25-30%.
WINDS IN THE MORNING WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AROUND 4KTS. IN
THE AFTERNOON, WINDS WILL VEER TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND
8-10KTS.
TONIGHT, A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA AND INCREASE
WINDS. ON SUNDAY, WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 45MPH. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE MID 70S AND DEW POINTS IN THE MID 50S. SUNDAY
NIGHT, A STRONG LINE OF STORMS WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
BRINGING WINDS UP TO 70MPH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........37 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /3600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
/43400 KNOT-FT/.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 61 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM
SKY (%).........49 60 70 62 41 28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............37 38 45 51 58 60
RH..............67 64 49 37 32 33
20 FT WIND......NE 2 E 2 E 4 E 5 SE 5 SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 9 11 11 11
MIX HGT (FT)....400 800 1700 2300 3000 3300
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 10 E 12 E 13 E 14 SE 15 SE 15
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 1 1
ADI.............11 10 22 29 56 61
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 8 19 28 39 43
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 74 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 17
TO 18 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (31100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................5 TO 45.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........27 17 21 26 12 28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............61 56 52 51 52 53
RH..............33 49 59 66 69 69
20 FT WIND......SE 5 E 3 E 3 SE 4 SE 4 S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.11 8 9 10 11 12
MIX HGT (FT)....2600 800 500 600 600 800
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 E 12 SE 14 SE 15 S 15 S 17
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 3 3
ADI.............45 5 6 7 7 8
SDSPL KT-FT/100031 8 6 7 8 13
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 43 TO 45 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (90100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (139400
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 139 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........35 41 60 74 79 79
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............54 55 60 67 71 73
RH..............69 72 69 61 55 49
20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6 S 8 S 14 S 15 S 15
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 18 26 27 27
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1100 3200 4700 4900 5200
TRANSPORT WIND..S 18 S 20 S 32 S 41 S 44 S 45
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1
ADI.............8 27 107 123 133 139
SDSPL KT-FT/100014 19 90 168 185 201
FORECASTER...SRW
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY KOLAKS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605705.1/LMK
.DELDT 03/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JEREMY.KOLAKS@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.THORNTON@USDA.GOV,PAUL.FOUNTAIN@USDA.GOV
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