086
FXUS63 KLMK 190842
AFDLMK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
442 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* TEMPERATURES WARM EACH DAY BEFORE REACHING THE 70S AND 80S BY
FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND.
* SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, A COLD FRONT DROPS TEMPERATURES BACK TO
THE 50S WITH AN ADDITIONAL CHANCE OF RAIN FOR SOME.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 442 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
HIGH CLOUDS WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER OVER THE AREA THIS MORNING
BEFORE CLEARING OUT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS A WEAK SHORTWAVE MOVES
OVER THE GREAT LAKES. OTHER THAN A FEW SPRINKLES, THE WEATHER SHOULD
REMAIN MAINLY DRY AND ALSO START A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE END OF
THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. MORE SUNSHINE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS
THE CLOUDS PUSH THROUGH WITH HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 60S TO NEAR 70.
CLEAR SKIES AROUND AS WE GO OVERNIGHT BUT NOT AS COLD WITH LOWS IN
THE MID/UPPER 40S. ANOTHER WEAK SHORTWAVE WILL WORK ALONG THE
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES WITH A FEW MORE
AFTERNOON CLOUDS BUT SHOULD BE MAINLY HIGH AND WITH SOME AFTERNOON
MIXING COULD GET SOME GUST OF 20-30 MPH. HIGHS CONTINUE TO GET
WARMER FOR THE END OF THE WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW/M,ID 70S WITH
UPPER 70S AROUND BOWLING GREEN.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 442 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
AS WE GO INTO THE WEEKEND THE WEATHER STORY REMAINS THE UNSEASONABLY
WARM TEMPERATURES. TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 70S TO MID 80S. WE
CONTINUE TO KEEP AN EYE ON A COLD FRONT EXPECTED TO WORK ACROSS THE
OHIO VALLEY FROM THE NORTH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO COOL TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE LOW 50S TO MID 60S EARLY
NEXT WEEK. MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE TO KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION
TO OUR EAST AND NORTH AS THIS BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH, AS WAS
MENTIONED IN THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION, WE COULD SEE SOME ELEVATE
INSTABILITY, CAN'T RULE OUT SOME HAIL OR GUSTY WINDS BUT THE OVERALL
SEVERE THREAT LOOKS LOW AT THIS TIME. THE REST OF THE FORECAST LOOKS
MAINLY DRY BUT COOLER.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
HIGH CLOUDS HAVE BEEN MOVING IN FROM THE NORTH OVERNIGHT AND WILL BE
AROUND FOR PART OF THE FORECAST, WE MAY GET A FEW SPRINKLES
ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK PASSING SYSTEM BUT MOST SHOULD REMAIN DRY. WE
LOOK TO CLEAR OUT WITH WINDS GENERALLY REMAINING OUT OF THE SOUTH
WITH OVERALL LITTLE WEATHER IMPACTS AND VFR FLIGHT CATEGORIES
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SHORT TERM...BTN
LONG TERM...BTN
AVIATION...BTN
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