384
FXUS63 KLMK 161838
AFDLMK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
238 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* BREEZY WINDS AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
* COOL TEMPERATURES LINGER THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND, WITH FROST AND
POSSIBLY SOME FREEZING TEMPERATURES (OVER THE BLUEGRASS REGION) ON
SUNDAY MORNING.
* AFTER TODAY'S LIGHT RAIN, DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED
OVER THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 237 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
********BREEZY AND COOL TODAY*********
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING, WINDS HAVE BEEN BREEZY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST. WE HIT OUR MAX TEMPS THIS MORNING RIGHT BEFORE FRONTAL
PASSAGE, AND WILL HIT OUR MINS CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE AROUND 40. EXPECT SPOTTY, LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND
THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL KEEP BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE WEAKENING. SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE MID-
UPPER 50S.
***********THIS WEEKEND'S CHILL***********
SUNDAY MORNING, TEMPERATURES WILL DIP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S, WHICH
WILL BRING FROST AND A CHANCE FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES. A FREEZE
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BLUEGRASS COUNTIES. THIS MAY BE UPGRADED
TO A FREEZE WARNING OR A FROST ADVISORY IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
AREAS SOUTHWEST OF THIS FREEZE WATCH MAY BE ADDED TO THE POTENTIAL
FROST ADVISORY. IN THE AFTERNOON, HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE LOW-MID
60S.
*****************NEXT WEEK******************
WE WILL REMAIN UNDER LOOSE RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS MEANS LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND HIGHS
CREEPING UP INTO THE UPPER 60S ON MONDAY, 70S THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK, AND POTENTIALLY SCRAPING 80 IN A FEW SOUTHWESTERN SPOTS
BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE 40S FOR
NEXT WEEK. NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AND DRY AIR ALOFT MAY BRING SOME
CHANCES FOR DRY AIR MIX DOWN NEXT WEEK. IF THIS IS THE CASE, WE WILL
SEE DRIER AFTERNOON RHS IN THE UPPER TEENS AND LOW 20S. SHOULD BE A
SEASONABLE FALL WEEK AHEAD.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 129 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
THE COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH THE REGION AND MVFR CIGS REMAIN
THIS AFTERNOON. CIGS WILL BRIEFLY IMPROVE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE
ANOTHER ROUND OF MVFR CIGS MOVE IN FROM THE NORTH. SKIES WILL CLEAR
IN THE MORNING FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. INTERMITTENT GUSTS UP TO
25KTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. AT TIMES, GUSTS MAY
SUBSIDE. THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, WINDS WILL REMAIN BREEZY AND
WILL STEADILY VEER TO FROM THE NORTH. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL END BY
THIS EVENING.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING
FOR KYZ036-037-041>043-049.
IN...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JPH/SRW
AVIATION...SRW
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