317
FSUS46 KLOX 101144
QPSLOX
QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
339 AM PST MON FEB 10 2025
PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 0400 ON DAY 1 ONLY.
LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.
THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: MON FEB 10 2025 THROUGH SUN FEB 16 2025.
04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...
LSRC1:CAMBRIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.00 0.00
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: 0% 0%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: 0% 0%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: N/A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%
04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...
SIYC1:SANTA MARIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.00 0.00
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: 0% 0%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: 0% 0%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: N/A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%
04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04
VENTURA COUNTY...
FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
VTUC1:VENTURA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MORC1:MOORPARK 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.00 0.00
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: 0% 0%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: 0% 0%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: N/A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%
04-07 07-10 10-13 13-16 | 16-22 22-04
LOS ANGELES COUNTY...
WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SAUC1:SAUGUS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
CQT:DOWNTOWN LA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MLUC1:MALIBU BIG ROCK MESA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.00 0.00
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: 0% 0%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: 0% 0%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: N/A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%
DISCUSSION:
A MODERATE TO STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL EARLY WEDNESDAY AND LAST
THROUGH FRIDAY. THE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY COME IN TWO PIECES ONE WITH
LIGHT STEADY RAIN ON WEDNESDAY...THEN A SHORT BREAK UNTIL THE MAIN
STORM ARRIVES THURSDAY. A LONG PERIOD OF RAINY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. THE MOST LIKELY RAINFALL AMOUNTS WED TO FRI ARE 1.5 TO 3
INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS THE LOW LEVELS, WITH UP TO 3 TO 5 INCHES FOR
THE FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS. RAIN RATES WILL BE HIGHEST THURSDAY
NIGHT, WITH RAIN RATES OF 0.25 TO 0.5 IN/HOUR COMMON, WITH A CHANCE
OF ISOLATED RATES OF 0.5 TO 1 IN/HOUR. THERE IS ALSO A 5-10% CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER RAIN
RATES.
SNOW LEVELS WILL LIKELY START OUT NEAR 5000 FT WEDNESDAY AND WILL
RISE TO 7000 FT THURSDAY WITH THE WARM FRONT. SNOW LEVELS WILL THEN
LOWER TO 6000 FT AND THEN LOWER AGAIN TO NEAR 5000 FT IN THE WAKE OF
THE COLD FRONT. ELEVATIONS ABOVE 7,000 OR 8,000 FEET MAY SEE SEVERAL
FT OF SNOW.
RORKE
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