484  
FXUS66 KLOX 102045  
AFDLOX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA  
145 PM PDT TUE JUN 10 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS  
10/112 PM.  
 
NIGHT THROUGH MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL CONTINUE FOR THE  
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OVER THE COAST AND VALLEYS WITH SLOW, IF ANY,  
CLEARING AT THE COAST. A WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE  
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK, MAINLY FOR INLAND AREAS.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM (TDY-FRI)  
10/129 PM.  
 
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE CURRENT PATTERN IS EXPECTED AT LEAST FOR THE  
NEXT FEW DAYS. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED A FEW DEGREES TODAY IN  
MOST AREAS AS WEAK HI PRESSURE ALOFT LOWERED THE MARINE LAYER  
DEPTH AND STRATUS CLEARED EARLIER. THE HIGH DOES WEAKEN SLIGHTLY  
THROUGH FRIDAY BUT FOR THE MOST PART HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE  
EXPECTED TO BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF TODAYS'S LEVELS. THERE MAY  
BE A SLIGHT UPTICK IN THE MARINE LAYER DEPTH AS WE PROGRESS  
THROUGH THE WEEK WHICH MAY BRING CLOUDS A BIT FARTHER INLAND BUT  
NOTHING SIGNIFICANT.  
 
AND AS USUAL THERE WILL BE PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS ACROSS SOUTHWEST  
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY AND THE ANTELOPE VALLEY IN THE AFTERNOON AND  
EVENING. OVERALL A VERY TYPICAL JUNE PATTERN.  
   
LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)  
10/143 PM.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE STRENGTHENING AGAIN THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY  
NEXT WEEK THAT WILL PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK UP TO THE MID TO  
HI 90S FOR THE VALLEYS WITH AT LEAST A 30% CHANCE OF HIGHS UP TO  
AROUND 102-104 IN THE WARMEST VALLEYS, PEAKING ON SUNDAY. THERE  
REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH HOW FAR WEST THE BUBBLE OF HIGH  
PRESSURE WILL EXPAND BUT CONFIDENCE IS HIGH THAT TRIPLE DIGIT  
TEMPERATURES WILL DEVELOP IN THE ANTELOPE VALLEY AND NEAR 100 OR  
SLIGHTLY HIGHER IN THE WARMER COASTAL VALLEYS.  
 
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN EARLY NEXT WEEK  
AND BE REPLACED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL BRING  
TEMPERATURES BACK TO NORMAL LEVELS. IN ADDITION, A DEEPENING  
MARINE LAYER WILL PUSH MARINE LAYER STRATUS FARTHER INLAND WITH  
SLOWER CLEARING.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
10/1745Z.  
 
AT 1656Z AT KLAX, THE MARINE LAYER DEPTH WAS AROUND 2100 FEET.  
THE TOP OF THE INVERSION WAS AROUND 5400 FEET WITH A TEMPERATURE  
OF 25 DEGREES CELSIUS.  
 
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR TAFS FOR KPMD AND KWJF.  
 
LOW CONFIDENCE IN TAFS FOR KPRB, KBUR, AND KVNY. THERE IS A 40%  
CHANCE VFR CONDS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD AT KPRB, AND A 20%  
CHANCE AT KBUR/KVNY. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN MINIMUM FLIGHT CAT  
BEING LIFR, BUT TIMING OF FLIGHT CAT CHANGES MAY BE OFF +/- 2  
HOURS.  
 
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN REMAINING COASTAL TAFS. TRANSITION TO VFR  
MAY BE OFF +/- 90 MINUTES. HOWEVER, THERE IS A CHANCE FOR NO  
CLEARING AT KSBA (30%), KOXR (40%), KCMA (20%). MODERATE TO HIGH  
CONFIDENCE IN MINIMUM FLIGHT CATS, BUT TIMING OF FLIGHT CAT  
CHANGES MAY BE OFF +/- 2 HOURS. THERE IS A 10-20% CHANCE FOR LIFR  
CONDS AT KOXR, KCMA, KSMO, KLAX, AND KLGB TONIGHT, HIGHEST CHANCES  
AT KOXR/KCMA.  
 
KLAX...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF. FOR TONIGHT, FLIGHT CAT  
CHANGES MAY BE OFF +/- 2 HOURS, BUT BKN TO SCT010-020 MAY OCCUR AT  
TIMES THROUGH 02Z. THERE IS A 10% CHANCE OF CIGS OVC002-004  
TONIGHT. NO SIGNIFICANT EAST WIND COMPONENT IS EXPECTED.  
 
KBUR...LOW CONFIDENCE IN TAF. TIMING OF FLIGHT CATEGORY CHANGES  
COULD BE OFF +/- 2 HOURS. THERE IS A 20% CHANCE THAT CIG/VSBY  
RESTRICTIONS DO NOT DEVELOP TONIGHT.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
10/136 PM.  
 
FOR THE OUTER WATERS, HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. SMALL  
CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY  
(WITH SOME TEMPORARY LULLS DURING THE OVERNIGHT TO EARLY MORNING  
HOURS). SEAS WILL APPROACH SCA LEVELS THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  
 
FOR THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF POINT SAL, MODERATE TO HIGH  
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. FOR TODAY, SCA LEVEL WINDS WILL  
CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING. FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY,  
THERE IS A 70-90% CHANCE OF SCA LEVEL WINDS, MAINLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. SEAS WILL APPROACH SCA LEVELS  
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  
 
FOR THE INNER WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MODERATE  
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE SOUTHERN  
INNER WATERS, HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WINDS AND SEAS REMAINING BELOW  
SCA LEVELS THROUGH SATURDAY. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE THE WESTERN  
HALF OF THE SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL WHERE THERE IS A 60-70% CHANCE  
OF SCA LEVEL WINDS THIS EVENING THEN A 30-50% CHANCE OF SCA LEVEL  
WINDS WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY, MAINLY DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON  
AND EVENING HOURS.  
 
 
   
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
CA...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM PDT  
WEDNESDAY FOR ZONES 349-351. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).  
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING  
FOR ZONE 645. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO 3 AM  
PDT WEDNESDAY FOR ZONE 650. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).  
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT THURSDAY FOR  
ZONES 670-673-676. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).  
 
 
 
 
 
PUBLIC...MW  
AVIATION...LEWIS  
MARINE...RAT/LEWIS  
SYNOPSIS...MW  
 
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES  
 
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:  
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX  
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