535
FXUS66 KLOX 120001
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
501 PM PDT WED JUN 11 2025
SYNOPSIS
11/1230 AM.
NIGHT THROUGH MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND FOG WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS OVER THE COAST AND VALLEYS WITH SLOW, IF ANY,
CLEARING AT THE COAST. AREAS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL REMAIN MUCH
WARMER THAN NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM (WED-SAT)
11/305 PM.
LITTLE CHANGE IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH SIMILAR
TEMPERATURES AND A MODERATELY DEEP MARINE LAYER THAT IS EXPECTED
TO AGAIN REACH MANY OF THE COASTAL VALLEYS. A WARMING TREND WILL
BEGIN SATURDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE TRIES TO EXPAND WEST FROM ARIZONA.
HIGHS WILL WARM 2-5 DEGREES AREA-WIDE WITH THE BIGGEST INCREASES
IN AREAS WHERE THE ELEVATION IS IN THE 800-2000 FEET RANGE, WHICH
INCLUDES THE COASTAL VALLEYS AND LOWER MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS. AT THIS
TIME TEMPERATURES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO REACH HEAT ADVISORY
CRITERIA.
GUSTY SUNDOWNER WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHWEST SANTA BARBARA
COUNTY AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL AGAIN DEVELOP ACROSS THE
ANTELOPE VALLEY
LONG TERM (SUN-WED)
11/304 PM.
ANOTHER WARM DAY EXPECTED SUNDAY WITH SIMILAR TO SLIGHTLY WARMER
TEMPERATURES. THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN
EARLY NEXT WEEK AND BE REPLACED BY AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL
BRING TEMPERATURES BACK TO NORMAL LEVELS. IN ADDITION, A
DEEPENING MARINE LAYER WILL PUSH MARINE LAYER STRATUS FARTHER
INLAND WITH SLOWER CLEARING.
AVIATION
11/2359Z.
AT 23Z AT KLAX, THE MARINE LAYER WAS 1400 FEET DEEP, WITH AN
INVERSION TOP AT 3000 FT AND A TEMPERATURE OF 25 CELSIUS.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN SIMILAR CEILING, VISIBILITY AND WIND
CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS THE PREVIOUS (PLUS OR MINUS 2
HOURS ON TIMING). COASTAL AND VALLEY SITES HAVE A 10-20% CHANCE
FOR BRIEF LIFR CIGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN VFR TAFS FOR KPMD AND KWJF.
KLAX...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN MARINE
LAYER CIGS. FLIGHT CAT CHANGES MAY BE OFF BY 3 HOURS ESPECIALLY
AFTER 06Z. NO SIGNIFICANT EAST WIND COMPONENT IS EXPECTED.
KBUR...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN MARINE
LAYER CIGS. TIMING OF FLIGHT CATEGORY CHANGES COULD BE OFF BY 3
HOURS.
MARINE
11/201 PM.
PERSISTENT GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS WILL A PROLONG PERIOD OF SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) CONDITIONS TO THE OUTER WATERS THROUGH AT
LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF GALES NEAR THE
CHANNEL ISLANDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND WITH A 30-50
PERCENT CHANCE OF GALES AGAIN FOCUSED ACROSS THE OUTER WATERS
SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.
SCA CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY PUSH INTO THE WESTERN SANTA BARBARA
CHANNEL AND NORTHERN INNER WATERS AT TIMES, ESPECIALLY AFTERNOON
TO EVENING HOURS, THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A 20
PERCENT CHANCE OF EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHERN INNER WATERS NEXT
MONDAY.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT THURSDAY FOR
ZONE 645. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 9 PM PDT THURSDAY
FOR ZONE 645. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PDT THIS EVENING
FOR ZONE 650. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM PDT FRIDAY FOR
ZONES 670-673-676. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC...MW/LUND/MW
AVIATION...PHILLIPS
MARINE...MUNROE
SYNOPSIS...MW/RK
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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