137
FNUS76 KLOX 040440
FWSLOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR MADRE...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
940 PM PDT THU JUL 3 2025
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DISCUSSION
STRONGER WINDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE THIS EVENING, ESPECIALLY IN
THE TYPICALLY WINDIER CARRIZO PLAIN. HOT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY, WITH MINIMUM HUMIDITIES LIKELY TO
LOWER INTO THE MID TEENS, WITH LOWER TEENS POSSIBLE (30-40% CHANCE).
HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS WILL ALSO CONTINUE THE RISK OF PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE BEHAVIOR, ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.
FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY EXPECTED A TREND OF DECREASING WINDS, ESPECIALLY
ON SATURDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 IN THE COOLER VALLEYS, 61-65 IN THE HILLS.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH THROUGH 10PM BECOMING
NORTH 2-5 MPH, THEN DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH AFTER 3AM.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH THROUGH 10PM BECOMING
NORTH 5-10 MPH, THEN DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH AFTER 3AM.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST TO NORTHWEST 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL LOWERING TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20-30 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTH 5 MPH.
INDEPENDENCE DAY FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....90-95.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-17 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT EARLY BECOMING EAST 2-4 MPH AROUND 9AM, THEN
WEST 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH AROUND 4PM.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EARLY BECOMING EAST 4-8 MPH AROUND 9AM, THEN
WEST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AROUND 4PM.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL EARLY, BECOMING 9000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 IN THE COOLER VALLEYS, 60-65 IN THE HILLS AND PLAINS.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH THROUGH 9PM BECOMING
NORTHWEST 2-5 MPH, THEN DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH AFTER 3AM.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH THROUGH 9PM BECOMING
NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH, THEN DOWNSLOPE 3-6 MPH AFTER 3AM.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL EARLY, LOWERING TO AOB 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH EARLY BECOMING NORTHEAST TO EAST 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....91-96.
MIN HUMIDITY........12-16 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....VARIABLE WINDS UP TO 3 MPH BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST 4 TO 6 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 4 TO 6 MPH BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL RISING TO 8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 MPH.
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...DAVID HELGESON (FBAN(T)
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517276.0/LOX
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID.HELGESON@USDA.GOV
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