516  
FNUS86 KLOX 041630  
FWLLOX  
 
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA  
930 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2025  
 
ECC029-051030-  
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH  
930 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2025  
   
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY
 
 
QUIET CONDITIONS INTO THIS WEEKEND WITH A COOLING TREND EXTENDING  
INTO NEXT WEEK. NO MAJOR IMPACTS EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF BREEZY ONSHORE  
DIURNAL WINDS EACH AFTERNOON; MAINLY AROUND FAVORED GAPS AND PASSES.  
IMPROVING HUMIDITY THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH A POTENTIAL  
PATTERN CHANGE BRINGING IN EVEN DEEPER MOISTURE BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
 
NOTE: ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.  
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.  
 
   
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD
 
 
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS  
OUR MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITY ONLY  
5 TO 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN  
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS. IF ANY STORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN  
THREATS WOULD BE ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS AS  
MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED.  
 
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND  
ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE GRADUALLY INCREASES, THERE WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS, BUT STILL VERY WARM ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH TEMPERATURES WELL  
INTO THE 90S. THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH RESIDUAL  
INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN MODERATELY DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN  
10,000 AND 13,000 FEET EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. AS A RESULT,  
THERE IS STILL AN ELEVATED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES  
ACROSS THE INTERIOR.  
 
WITH A DRYING AIR MASS, THE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL TREND DOWN THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS, WITH MINIMUMS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT BECOMING COMMON BY  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE  
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT FOR SUNDOWNER WINDS FOR SOUTHWESTERN SANTA  
BARBARA COUNTY DURING THE EVENINGS (NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUST  
TO 35 MPH).  
 

 
 
ECC028-051030-  
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH  
930 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2025  
 
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS  
OUR MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITY ONLY  
5 TO 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN  
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS. IF ANY STORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN  
THREATS WOULD BE ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS AS  
MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED.  
 
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND  
ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE GRADUALLY INCREASES, THERE WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS, BUT STILL VERY WARM ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH TEMPERATURES WELL  
INTO THE 90S. THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH RESIDUAL  
INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN MODERATELY DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN  
10,000 AND 13,000 FEET EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. AS A RESULT,  
THERE IS STILL AN ELEVATED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES  
ACROSS THE INTERIOR.  
 
WITH A DRYING AIR MASS, THE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL TREND DOWN THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS, WITH MINIMUMS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT BECOMING COMMON BY  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE  
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT FOR SUNDOWNER WINDS FOR SOUTHWESTERN SANTA  
BARBARA COUNTY DURING THE EVENINGS (NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUST  
TO 35 MPH).  
 

 
 
ECC031-051030-  
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH  
930 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2025  
 
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS  
OUR MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITY ONLY  
5 TO 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN  
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS. IF ANY STORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN  
THREATS WOULD BE ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS AS  
MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED.  
 
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND  
ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE GRADUALLY INCREASES, THERE WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS, BUT STILL VERY WARM ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH TEMPERATURES WELL  
INTO THE 90S. THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH RESIDUAL  
INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN MODERATELY DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN  
10,000 AND 13,000 FEET EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. AS A RESULT,  
THERE IS STILL AN ELEVATED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES  
ACROSS THE INTERIOR.  
 
WITH A DRYING AIR MASS, THE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL TREND DOWN THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS, WITH MINIMUMS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT BECOMING COMMON BY  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE  
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT FOR SUNDOWNER WINDS FOR SOUTHWESTERN SANTA  
BARBARA COUNTY DURING THE EVENINGS (NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUST  
TO 35 MPH).  
 

 
 
ECC024-051030-  
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-  
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH  
930 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2025  
 
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS  
OUR MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITY ONLY  
5 TO 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN  
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS. IF ANY STORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN  
THREATS WOULD BE ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS AS  
MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED.  
 
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND  
ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE GRADUALLY INCREASES, THERE WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS, BUT STILL VERY WARM ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH TEMPERATURES WELL  
INTO THE 90S. THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH RESIDUAL  
INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN MODERATELY DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN  
10,000 AND 13,000 FEET EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. AS A RESULT,  
THERE IS STILL AN ELEVATED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES  
ACROSS THE INTERIOR.  
 
WITH A DRYING AIR MASS, THE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL TREND DOWN THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS, WITH MINIMUMS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT BECOMING COMMON BY  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE  
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT FOR SUNDOWNER WINDS FOR SOUTHWESTERN SANTA  
BARBARA COUNTY DURING THE EVENINGS (NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUST  
TO 35 MPH).  
 

 
 
ECC032-051030-  
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH  
930 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2025  
 
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS  
OUR MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITY ONLY  
5 TO 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN  
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS. IF ANY STORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN  
THREATS WOULD BE ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS AS  
MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED.  
 
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND  
ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE GRADUALLY INCREASES, THERE WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS, BUT STILL VERY WARM ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH TEMPERATURES WELL  
INTO THE 90S. THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH RESIDUAL  
INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN MODERATELY DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN  
10,000 AND 13,000 FEET EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. AS A RESULT,  
THERE IS STILL AN ELEVATED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES  
ACROSS THE INTERIOR.  
 
WITH A DRYING AIR MASS, THE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL TREND DOWN THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS, WITH MINIMUMS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT BECOMING COMMON BY  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE  
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT FOR SUNDOWNER WINDS FOR SOUTHWESTERN SANTA  
BARBARA COUNTY DURING THE EVENINGS (NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUST  
TO 35 MPH).  
 

 
 
ECC030-051030-  
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH  
930 AM PDT THU SEP 4 2025  
 
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS  
OUR MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS, WITH THE THUNDERSTORM PROBABILITY ONLY  
5 TO 15 PERCENT ACROSS THE SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS AND NORTHERN  
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS. IF ANY STORMS WERE TO DEVELOP, THE MAIN  
THREATS WOULD BE ISOLATED DRY LIGHTNING STRIKES AND GUSTY WINDS AS  
MOISTURE REMAINS LIMITED.  
 
AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUED TO WEAKEN AND  
ONSHORE FLOW NEAR THE SURFACE GRADUALLY INCREASES, THERE WILL  
CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT DOWNWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW  
DAYS, BUT STILL VERY WARM ACROSS THE INTERIOR WITH TEMPERATURES WELL  
INTO THE 90S. THE VERY WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH RESIDUAL  
INSTABILITY WILL RESULT IN MODERATELY DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS BETWEEN  
10,000 AND 13,000 FEET EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY. AS A RESULT,  
THERE IS STILL AN ELEVATED RISK FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRES  
ACROSS THE INTERIOR.  
 
WITH A DRYING AIR MASS, THE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL TREND DOWN THE NEXT  
FEW DAYS, WITH MINIMUMS BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT BECOMING COMMON BY  
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. TYPICAL DIURNAL WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE  
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, EXCEPT FOR SUNDOWNER WINDS FOR SOUTHWESTERN SANTA  
BARBARA COUNTY DURING THE EVENINGS (NORTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUST  
TO 35 MPH).  
 

 
 
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