447  
FNUS86 KLOX 141652  
FWLLOX  
 
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA  
952 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
 
ECC029-151100-  
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH  
952 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
   
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY  
 
WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL INCREASE  
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS, HOWEVER RELATIVELY LIGHT WINDS AND MANAGEABLE  
ERC LEVELS WILL HELP MITIGATE THOSE CONCERNS. A PATTERN CHANGE LATE  
IN THE WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES AND  
IMPROVED RH RECOVERY.  
 
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.  
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.  
 
   
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD  
 
   
..GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR THROUGH MONDAY  
 
...SMALL THREAT OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS TUESDAY, WITH  
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY  
INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LOCALLY STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND  
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING POSSIBLE AT TIMES...  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE GRADUALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY OVER  
INTERIOR AREAS.  
 
HOTTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY REACHING 100 DEGREES IN THE HOTTEST VALLEYS  
AND MOUNTAINS. THERE IS STILL A RANGE OF OUTCOMES IN TERMS OF HOW  
HOT IT WILL GET, BUT THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AN ENHANCED RISK OF  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR, ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
WINDS LOOK WEAKER THAN USUAL, BUT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW IS LIKELY EACH  
MORNING. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL ALSO LIKELY STREAM INTO THE AREA  
STARTING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY WHEN THERE IS A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE  
OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT  
TIMES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH THE MAIN  
THREATS BEING STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN  
INDUCING FLOODING. NO SIGNIFICANT RISKS OF SANTA ANA WINDS FOR AT  
LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS.  
 
 
 
ECC028-151100-  
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH  
952 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
   
..GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR THROUGH MONDAY  
 
...SMALL THREAT OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS TUESDAY, WITH  
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY  
INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LOCALLY STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND  
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING POSSIBLE AT TIMES...  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE GRADUALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY OVER  
INTERIOR AREAS.  
 
HOTTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY REACHING 100 DEGREES IN THE HOTTEST VALLEYS  
AND MOUNTAINS. THERE IS STILL A RANGE OF OUTCOMES IN TERMS OF HOW  
HOT IT WILL GET, BUT THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AN ENHANCED RISK OF  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR, ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
WINDS LOOK WEAKER THAN USUAL, BUT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW IS LIKELY EACH  
MORNING. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL ALSO LIKELY STREAM INTO THE AREA  
STARTING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY WHEN THERE IS A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE  
OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT  
TIMES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH THE MAIN  
THREATS BEING STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN  
INDUCING FLOODING. NO SIGNIFICANT RISKS OF SANTA ANA WINDS FOR AT  
LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS.  
 
 
 
ECC031-151100-  
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH  
952 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
   
..GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR THROUGH MONDAY  
 
...SMALL THREAT OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS TUESDAY, WITH  
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY  
INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LOCALLY STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND  
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING POSSIBLE AT TIMES...  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE GRADUALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY OVER  
INTERIOR AREAS.  
 
HOTTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY REACHING 100 DEGREES IN THE HOTTEST VALLEYS  
AND MOUNTAINS. THERE IS STILL A RANGE OF OUTCOMES IN TERMS OF HOW  
HOT IT WILL GET, BUT THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AN ENHANCED RISK OF  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR, ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
WINDS LOOK WEAKER THAN USUAL, BUT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW IS LIKELY EACH  
MORNING. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL ALSO LIKELY STREAM INTO THE AREA  
STARTING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY WHEN THERE IS A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE  
OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT  
TIMES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH THE MAIN  
THREATS BEING STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN  
INDUCING FLOODING. NO SIGNIFICANT RISKS OF SANTA ANA WINDS FOR AT  
LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS.  
 
 
 
ECC024-151100-  
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-  
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH  
952 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
   
..GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR THROUGH MONDAY  
 
...SMALL THREAT OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS TUESDAY, WITH  
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY  
INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LOCALLY STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND  
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING POSSIBLE AT TIMES...  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE GRADUALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY OVER  
INTERIOR AREAS.  
 
HOTTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY REACHING 100 DEGREES IN THE HOTTEST VALLEYS  
AND MOUNTAINS. THERE IS STILL A RANGE OF OUTCOMES IN TERMS OF HOW  
HOT IT WILL GET, BUT THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AN ENHANCED RISK OF  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR, ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
WINDS LOOK WEAKER THAN USUAL, BUT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW IS LIKELY EACH  
MORNING. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL ALSO LIKELY STREAM INTO THE AREA  
STARTING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY WHEN THERE IS A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE  
OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT  
TIMES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH THE MAIN  
THREATS BEING STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN  
INDUCING FLOODING. NO SIGNIFICANT RISKS OF SANTA ANA WINDS FOR AT  
LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS.  
 
 
 
ECC032-151100-  
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH  
952 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
   
..GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR THROUGH MONDAY  
 
...SMALL THREAT OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS TUESDAY, WITH  
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY  
INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LOCALLY STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND  
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING POSSIBLE AT TIMES...  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE GRADUALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY OVER  
INTERIOR AREAS.  
 
HOTTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY REACHING 100 DEGREES IN THE HOTTEST VALLEYS  
AND MOUNTAINS. THERE IS STILL A RANGE OF OUTCOMES IN TERMS OF HOW  
HOT IT WILL GET, BUT THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AN ENHANCED RISK OF  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR, ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
WINDS LOOK WEAKER THAN USUAL, BUT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW IS LIKELY EACH  
MORNING. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL ALSO LIKELY STREAM INTO THE AREA  
STARTING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY WHEN THERE IS A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE  
OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT  
TIMES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH THE MAIN  
THREATS BEING STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN  
INDUCING FLOODING. NO SIGNIFICANT RISKS OF SANTA ANA WINDS FOR AT  
LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS.  
 
 
 
ECC030-151100-  
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH  
952 AM PDT SUN SEP 14 2025  
   
..GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS OVER THE INTERIOR THROUGH MONDAY  
 
...SMALL THREAT OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS AS EARLY AS TUESDAY, WITH  
INCREASING CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES WEDNESDAY  
INTO NEXT WEEKEND WITH LOCALLY STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND  
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN/FLOODING POSSIBLE AT TIMES...  
 
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE GRADUALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR  
TODAY THROUGH MONDAY. SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH  
WITH GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY OVER  
INTERIOR AREAS.  
 
HOTTER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH HIGH  
TEMPERATURES POTENTIALLY REACHING 100 DEGREES IN THE HOTTEST VALLEYS  
AND MOUNTAINS. THERE IS STILL A RANGE OF OUTCOMES IN TERMS OF HOW  
HOT IT WILL GET, BUT THERE IS HIGH CONFIDENCE IN AN ENHANCED RISK OF  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE BEHAVIOR, ESPECIALLY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
WINDS LOOK WEAKER THAN USUAL, BUT LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW IS LIKELY EACH  
MORNING. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE WILL ALSO LIKELY STREAM INTO THE AREA  
STARTING AS EARLY AS TUESDAY WHEN THERE IS A 5 TO 10 PERCENT CHANCE  
OF DRY THUNDERSTORMS. THE CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT  
TIMES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY INTO NEXT WEEKEND, WITH THE MAIN  
THREATS BEING STRONG WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN  
INDUCING FLOODING. NO SIGNIFICANT RISKS OF SANTA ANA WINDS FOR AT  
LEAST THE NEXT 7 DAYS.  
 
 
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