900
FNUS76 KLOX 162207
FWSLOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR PIUTE RX...VANDENBERG
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
307 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2025
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM MARIO REMAINS ON TRACK TO MOVE OVER
CALIFORNIA THURSDAY OR FRIDAY. WITH THE FRINGES OF THE MOISTURE
MOVING INTO THE BURN SITE ON WEDNESDAY, AND STILL SOME SUN AND HEAT,
A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE BUT FAR FROM CERTAIN. ANY
THUNDERSTORM OVER OR NEAR THE SITE WOULD PRODUCE GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS. HIGHER CONFIDENCE IN RAIN HITTING THE BURN SITE ON THURSDAY.
THURSDAY ALSO CARRIES A FAIRLY HIGH RISK OF ERRATIC RAPIDLY CHANGING
AND DIFFICULT TO PREDICT WINDS THROUGH THE DAY, AS HEAVY SHOWERS,
THUNDERSTORMS, AND THE CORE OF THE DECAY SYSTEM ALL AROUND. BY
FRIDAY, THE ACTIVITY WILL BE TRENDING DOWN, BUT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE AS THE MOISTURE LINGERS OVER THE
REGION, BUT THE RISK FOR ERRATIC WINDS IS THE LOWEST OF THE NEXT
THREE DAYS. ANOTHER ROUND OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AND ASSOCIATED
SHOWER, THUNDERSTORM, AND WIND THREATS IS POSSIBLE NEXT WEEK SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY OR TUESDAY.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....92-96.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-8 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH AROUND 3PM.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH AROUND 3PM.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH LATE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHEST CHANCES AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-66.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH
IN THE EVENING BECOMING 3-6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH
IN THE EVENING BECOMING 6-12 MPH OVERNIGHT.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-25 MPH EARLY BECOMING 5-10 MPH.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. 70 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHEST CHANCES IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HIGH RISK OF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING 12000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10-15 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
20 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHEST CHANCES IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING 2-5 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST TO WEST 6-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE
EVENING BECOMING 5-10 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING 2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5-10 MPH.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
10 PERCENT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL EARLY BECOMING 8000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 0-5 MPH EARLY BECOMING 10-15 MPH.
FORECASTER...KITTELL
REQUESTED BY...SHANNON SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522050.0/LOX
.DELDT 09/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHANNON.SMITHB413@GMAIL.COM
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