145
FNUS76 KLOX 162345
FWSLOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR GIFFORD FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
445 PM PDT TUE SEP 16 2025
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THE WARMING TREND REMAINS ON TRACK THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH A COOL
DOWN EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
LOCALLY GUSTY AND WESTERLY EACH AFTERNOON TO EVENING, WITH EASTERLY
WINDS DURING EACH OVERNIGHT PERIOD. HUMIDITIES WILL LOWER DURING THE
PEAK OF THE HEAT ON WEDNESDAY, LIKELY REACHING THE LOW 20S TO TEENS.
EXPECTING MODERATE TO GOOD OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.
MOISTURE WILL BE INCREASING OVER THE AREA AS THE REMNANT TROPICAL
SYSTEM APPROACHES. STARTING OFF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, LIGHT SHOWERS
ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE BURN AREA, FAVORING SOUTHERN PORTIONS. CHANCES
INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT, WITH BETTER POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
THERE IS STILL CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY HOW MUCH RAINFALL
AND LIGHTNING ACTIVITY WILL IMPACT THE GIFFORD FIRE BURN SCAR
DURING THIS PERIOD, BUT THE HIGHEST CHANCES ARE WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AT THIS TIME. ANY THUNDERSTORM THAT FORMS
MAY PRODUCE STRONG GUSTY/ERRATIC WINDS, LIGHTNING, AND BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL. CONVECTION THAT FORM WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY
NIGHT CARRY MORE OF A DRY LIGHTNING THREAT, WHEREAS THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BRING A LOCALIZED
FLOODING AND DEBRIS FLOW RISK.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-63 EXCEPT 63-72 HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT AT LOWER ELEVATIONS.
40-45 PERCENT ELSEWHERE.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 2-4 MPH IN THE EVENING, BECOMING
EAST 1-4 MPH. GUSTS TO 6 MPH AFTER 0300.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH
IN THE EVENING, BECOMING EAST 3-8 MPH. GUSTS
TO 12 MPH AFTER 0300.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST WINDS 6-10 MPH IN THE EVENING, BECOMING
EAST 5-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 MPH AFTER 0300.
MIXING HEIGHT.......WESTERN PORTION 1300-2500 FT AGL EARLY,
BECOMING 600-1000 FT AGL OVERNIGHT. EASTERN
3500-6000 FT AGL BECOMING 1000-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING EAST AT 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS
THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCES FOR LIGHT
SHOWERS STARTING AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85 TO 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 TO 25 PERCENT, HIGHEST OVER WESTERN PORTIONS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 2 TO 5 MPH BECOMING WEST 2 TO 5
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 6 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1500 FT AGL EARLY, BECOMING 9000 FT AGL
TO 12000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DRY LIGHTNING POSSIBLE AFTER
0100. EXPECTING RAINFALL TO INCREASE IN COVERAGE
AND INTENSITY AROUND 0300 LASTING INTO 0600.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55 TO 64 FOR NORTHERN PORTIONS, 65 TO 72
ELSEWHERE.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-65 PERCENT, LOWEST OVER EASTERN PORTIONS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 7 MPH.
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 TO 2000 FT AGL. HIGHEST OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS.
SOUTHERN PORTIONS RISING TO 5000 FT AGL AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE
OVERNIGHT.
FORECASTER...PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...JACOB SLATER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2521683.1/LOX
.DELDT 09/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ERIC.HARRIS2@USDA.GOV,ALYSSA.THORNBURG@USDA.GOV,TRACY.DOTT@USDA.GOV,JACOB.SLATER@USDA.GOV,RODOLFO.URIBE@USDA.GOV
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