796  
FXUS66 KLOX 142042  
AFDLOX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA  
142 PM PDT TUE OCT 14 2025  
   
SYNOPSIS  
14/119 PM.  
 
A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY EVENING,  
OTHERWISE DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. A LIGHT SANTA  
ANA PATTERN WILL DEVELOP THURSDAY AND FRIDAY THAT WILL BRING MUCH  
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND SOME LOCALLY BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS. DRY  
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK BUT WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES.  
 
 
   
SHORT TERM (TDY-FRI)  
14/140 PM.  
 
A STRONG SYSTEM FOR ANY TIME OF YEAR, LET ALONE OCTOBER, HAS  
FINALLY EXITED THE AREA. STILL COULD SEE A 5-10 MINUTE MODERATE  
SHOWER JUST ABOUT ANYWHERE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BUT FOR THE MOST  
PART THE BIG IMPACTS HAVE ENDED. THE BIG RAIN WINNERS WERE IN THE  
SAN GABRIEL MOUNTAINS WHERE THERE WERE SEVERAL REPORTS OF RAIN  
AMOUNTS OVER 5". OTHERWISE MOST AREAS ENDED UP WITH BETWEEN 1 AND  
1.5 INCHES.  
 
GOING FORWARD, REALLY NOT EXPECTING ANY IMPACTFUL WEATHER FOR  
SEVERAL DAYS. A LIGHT SANTA ANA EVENT WILL FOLLOW THIS STORM,  
PEAKING THU/FRI. WINDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE TOO STRONG, BUT  
COULD GET SOME GUSTS INTO THE 30S IN THE SAN GABRIELS AND SOME OF  
THE HIGHER VALLEYS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES. THE MORE NOTABLE  
CHANGE WILL BE THE TEMPERATURES WHICH WILL WARM UP WELL INTO THE  
80S ACROSS THE VALLEYS AND MID 70S TO LOW 80S AT THE COAST. MAY  
GET SOME PATCHES OF FOG TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN SOME OF THE VALLEYS  
WITH LEFT OVER MOISTURE FROM THE RAIN AND RAPID COOLING UNDER  
CLEARING SKIES. OTHERWISE, NOT EXPECTING ANY MARINE LAYER  
FORMATION THE REST OF THE WEEK SO THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF  
SUNSHINE.  
   
LONG TERM (SAT-TUE)  
14/141 PM.  
 
A SWITCH TO ONSHORE FLOW ON SUNDAY WILL LIKELY BRING A RETURN TO  
THE COASTAL MORNING MARINE LAYER CLOUD DECK. THE ONSHORE FLOW WILL  
ALSO BRING 3 TO 5 DEGREES OF COOLING UP AND DOWN THE CSTS/VLYS.  
 
LONG WAVE TROFFING WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY BRINGING MORE  
MARINE LAYER CLOUDS AND STRONGER ONSHORE FLOW. MAX TEMPS WILL FALL  
4 TO 8 LOCALLY 10 DEGREES AND END UP 6 TO 12 DEGREES BLO NORMALS.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
14/1515Z.  
 
AT 15Z AT KLAX, THERE WAS NO MARINE LAYER OR INVERSION.  
 
FOR KPRB, KSBP, KSMX, KSBA...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN OFF AND ON  
AGAIN -SHRA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON, WITH MVFR/VFR COMMON. THERE IS  
A 20% CHANCE OF BRIEF RA IFR. 30% CHANCE OF LIFR FG 10-16Z AT  
KPRB.  
 
FOR KWJF, KPMD MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN MVFR -RA THROUGH EARLY  
AFTERNOON THEN VFR.  
 
FOR ALL OTHER AIRPORTS, MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN IFR/MVFR COMMON  
THROUGH THE MORNING. +RA WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS ARE  
POSSIBLE AT ANY TIME. MVFR/VFR -SHRA WILL FOLLOW THROUGH  
MID-AFTERNOON. LOW CONFIDENCE ON EXACT TIMING.  
 
KLAX...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN WEST WIND SHIFT HAPPENING  
1630-1700Z. IFR/MVFR RA WILL BE COMMON THROUGH 18-19Z. LOW  
CONFIDENCE ON OTHER DETAILS. AFTER 19-20Z, MVFR/VFR -SHRA THROUGH  
22-24Z. VFR AFTER.  
 
KBUR...IFR RA WILL BE COMMON THROUGH 18-19Z. LOW CONFIDENCE ON  
OTHER DETAILS. AFTER 19-20Z, MVFR/VFR -SHRA THROUGH 22-24Z. VFR  
AFTER. 20% CHANCE OF LIFR FG 10-16Z.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
14/749 AM.  
 
A SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM WILL BE FOCUSED OVER VENTURA, LOS  
ANGELES, AND ORANGE COUNTIES THROUGH THE MORNING WITH GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN. WATERSPOUTS REMAIN POSSIBLE. FOR THE  
REST OF THE WATERS, AND ALL AREAS BY THE AFTERNOON, OFF AND ON  
AGAIN SHOWERS AND GENERALLY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL  
INTO TONIGHT.  
 
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) NORTHWEST WINDS ARE LIKELY FOR THE  
WATERS FROM THE CENTRAL COAST THE SAN NICOLAS ISLAND WEDNESDAY  
AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  
 
 
   
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
CA...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR  
ZONES 376>383. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).  
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT THIS  
AFTERNOON FOR ZONE 377. (SEE LAXWSWLOX).  
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON  
FOR ZONE 655. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).  
 
 
 
 
 
PUBLIC...MW/RORKE  
AVIATION...RK  
MARINE...RK  
SYNOPSIS...MW  
 
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES  
 
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:  
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX  
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