800
FNUS76 KLOX 222337
FWSLOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ESTERO RX...CA OTH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
437 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 PDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLEAR SKIES WILL PERSIST OVER THE BURN AREA THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT,
WITH LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW OVER THE NEARBY RIDGETOPS PEAKING DURING
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS EACH DAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY THURSDAY WILL
LIKELY BE LOWEST DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS AT AROUND 75
PERCENT. WINDS AT THE BURN AREA WILL MOSTLY BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST
WITH WINDS PEAKING IN THE MID AFTERNOON HOURS WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH.
THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE THAT GUSTS REACH AS HIGH AS 26 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH WITH MIXING
HEIGHTS RANGING FROM 1000 TO 2000 FEET.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........55-57 AT 0600...MAX 63-65.
RH..................75-80 PERCENT EARLY, MINIMUM AROUND 75 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNDER 3 MPH, BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
4 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS UNDER 5 MPH, BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
8 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH-NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH,
BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT 0600, BECOMING 2000 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54-56.
RH..................MAX 90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH EARLY,
BECOMING 2 TO 4 MPH AFTER 2000.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH EARLY,
BECOMING 3 TO 7 MPH AFTER 2000.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH, BECOMING NORTH-NORTHEAST
8 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......FALLING TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
FORECASTER...SCHOENFELD
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL JOSEPH WALGREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2524276.0/LOX
.DELDT 10/22/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MIKE.WALGREN@PARKS.CA.GOV
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