533  
FNUS86 KLOX 121751  
FWLLOX  
FNUS86 KLOX 121750  
FWLLOX  
 
ECCDA DISCUSSIONS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA  
950 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025  
 
ECC029-131200-  
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH  
950 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025  
   
..DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY  
 
A PATTERN CHANGE BRINGS UNSETTLED WEATHER BEGINNING ON WEDNESDAY AND  
LASTING THROUGH THE REST OF THE 7-DAY OUTLOOK. THE MOST INTENSE RAIN  
AND STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY  
MORNING WITH WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS EXPECTED. WIND GUSTS RANGE  
FROM 35 TO 45 MPH IN THE INTERIOR VALLEYS TO 45 TO 55 MPH AT THE  
COAST AND AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS, WITH STRONGER GUSTS POTENTIALLY  
ABOVE 60 MPH THROUGH FAVORED GAPS AND PASSES. LINGERING SHOWERS  
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH DRIER CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY BEFORE  
CHANCES FOR RAIN RETURN ON SUNDAY.  
 
NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.  
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.  
 
   
..DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD  
 
...STORM SYSTEM TO BRING PERIODS OR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THURSDAY  
THROUGH SATURDAY...  
 
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THURSDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN, ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR ROAD  
FLOODING AND HEAVY FLOWS IN RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH SWIFT WATER  
RESCUE POTENTIAL. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF LOCALIZED  
DEBRIS FLOWS IN THE MOST VULNERABLE BURN SCARS. A FEW TREES MAY BE  
KNOCKED DOWN. TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAIN REMAINS  
UNCERTAIN. PEAK RAIN RATES OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE  
COMMON, BUT LOCALIZED RATES OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES PER HOUR ARE  
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH FACING FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.  
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE ON SUNDAY, BUT ANOTHER STORM COULD COME ON  
MONDAY.  
 
 
 
ECC028-131200-  
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH  
950 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025  
 
...STORM SYSTEM TO BRING PERIODS OR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THURSDAY  
THROUGH SATURDAY...  
 
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THURSDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN, ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR ROAD  
FLOODING AND HEAVY FLOWS IN RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH SWIFT WATER  
RESCUE POTENTIAL. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF LOCALIZED  
DEBRIS FLOWS IN THE MOST VULNERABLE BURN SCARS. A FEW TREES MAY BE  
KNOCKED DOWN. TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAIN REMAINS  
UNCERTAIN. PEAK RAIN RATES OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE  
COMMON, BUT LOCALIZED RATES OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES PER HOUR ARE  
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH FACING FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.  
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE ON SUNDAY, BUT ANOTHER STORM COULD COME ON  
MONDAY.  
 
 
 
ECC031-131200-  
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH  
950 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025  
 
...STORM SYSTEM TO BRING PERIODS OR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THURSDAY  
THROUGH SATURDAY...  
 
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THURSDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN, ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR ROAD  
FLOODING AND HEAVY FLOWS IN RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH SWIFT WATER  
RESCUE POTENTIAL. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF LOCALIZED  
DEBRIS FLOWS IN THE MOST VULNERABLE BURN SCARS. A FEW TREES MAY BE  
KNOCKED DOWN. TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAIN REMAINS  
UNCERTAIN. PEAK RAIN RATES OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE  
COMMON, BUT LOCALIZED RATES OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES PER HOUR ARE  
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH FACING FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.  
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE ON SUNDAY, BUT ANOTHER STORM COULD COME ON  
MONDAY.  
 
 
 
ECC024-131200-  
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-  
DISCUSSION FOR SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH  
950 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025  
 
...STORM SYSTEM TO BRING PERIODS OR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THURSDAY  
THROUGH SATURDAY...  
 
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THURSDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN, ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR ROAD  
FLOODING AND HEAVY FLOWS IN RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH SWIFT WATER  
RESCUE POTENTIAL. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF LOCALIZED  
DEBRIS FLOWS IN THE MOST VULNERABLE BURN SCARS. A FEW TREES MAY BE  
KNOCKED DOWN. TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAIN REMAINS  
UNCERTAIN. PEAK RAIN RATES OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE  
COMMON, BUT LOCALIZED RATES OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES PER HOUR ARE  
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH FACING FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.  
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE ON SUNDAY, BUT ANOTHER STORM COULD COME ON  
MONDAY.  
 
 
 
ECC032-131200-  
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR VENTURA ECC DISPATCH  
950 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025  
 
...STORM SYSTEM TO BRING PERIODS OR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THURSDAY  
THROUGH SATURDAY...  
 
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THURSDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN, ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR ROAD  
FLOODING AND HEAVY FLOWS IN RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH SWIFT WATER  
RESCUE POTENTIAL. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF LOCALIZED  
DEBRIS FLOWS IN THE MOST VULNERABLE BURN SCARS. A FEW TREES MAY BE  
KNOCKED DOWN. TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAIN REMAINS  
UNCERTAIN. PEAK RAIN RATES OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE  
COMMON, BUT LOCALIZED RATES OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES PER HOUR ARE  
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH FACING FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.  
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE ON SUNDAY, BUT ANOTHER STORM COULD COME ON  
MONDAY.  
 
 
 
ECC030-131200-  
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-  
DISCUSSION FOR LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH  
950 AM PST WED NOV 12 2025  
 
...STORM SYSTEM TO BRING PERIODS OR MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN THURSDAY  
THROUGH SATURDAY...  
 
A STORM SYSTEM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWEST CALIFORNIA THURSDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY, BRINGING PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN, ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS, AND GUSTY WINDS. THERE IS A HIGH RISK FOR ROAD  
FLOODING AND HEAVY FLOWS IN RIVERS AND STREAMS WITH SWIFT WATER  
RESCUE POTENTIAL. THERE IS A LOW TO MODERATE RISK OF LOCALIZED  
DEBRIS FLOWS IN THE MOST VULNERABLE BURN SCARS. A FEW TREES MAY BE  
KNOCKED DOWN. TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF HEAVIEST RAIN REMAINS  
UNCERTAIN. PEAK RAIN RATES OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES PER HOUR WILL BE  
COMMON, BUT LOCALIZED RATES OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES PER HOUR ARE  
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTH FACING FOOTHILLS AND MOUNTAINS.  
RAIN CHANCES DECREASE ON SUNDAY, BUT ANOTHER STORM COULD COME ON  
MONDAY.  
 
 
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