801  
FSUS46 KLOX 222048  
QPSLOX  
 
QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA  
1238 PM PST MON DEC 22 2025  
 
PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR  
INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600.  
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 1600 ON DAY 1 ONLY.  
 
LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN  
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.  
 
THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: MON DEC 22 2025 THROUGH SUN DEC 28 2025.  
 

 
 
16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16  
 
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...  
 
LSRC1:CAMBRIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 LGT | LGT LGT  
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA 0.0 0.0 0.0 LGT | LGT LGT  
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | LGT LGT  
 
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS  
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03  
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%  
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%  
 
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 0300-0600  
 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%  
 

16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16  
 
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...  
 
SIYC1:SANTA MARIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | LGT LGT  
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | LGT LGT  
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | LGT LGT  
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | LGT LGT  
 
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS  
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.00 0.00  
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: 0% 0%  
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: 0% 0%  
 
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: N/A  
 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%  
 

16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16  
 
VENTURA COUNTY...  
 
FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
VTUC1:VENTURA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
MORC1:MOORPARK 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
 
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS  
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.00 0.00  
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: 0% 0%  
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: 0% 0%  
 
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: N/A  
 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%  
 

16-19 19-22 22-01 01-04 | 04-10 10-16  
 
LOS ANGELES COUNTY...  
 
WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
SAUC1:SAUGUS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
CQT:DOWNTOWN LA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
MLUC1:MALIBU BIG ROCK MESA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT  
 
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS  
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.00 0.00  
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: 0% 0%  
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: 0% 0%  
 
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: N/A  
 
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%  
 

 
 
DISCUSSION:  
 
A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM WILL IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY THROUGH  
SATURDAY. AT THIS TIME, THE HEAVIEST RAIN LOOKS TO OCCUR TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY WITH A SECONDARY PULSE OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ON  
CHRISTMAS DAY. FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY, A SHOWERY PATTERN WILL  
REMAIN OVER THE AREA.  
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH SATURDAY WILL LIKEY RANGE FROM 3-8 INCHES  
ACORSS COASTAL AND VALLEY WITH 6-12+ INCHES ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND  
MOUNTAINS. RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TO PEAK IN THE 0.50 TO 1.25  
INCH PER HOUR RANGE. SNOW LEVELS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 7500-8000 FEET  
THROUGH CHRISTMAS EVE, BUT WILL DROP INTO THE 5500-6500 FOOT RANGE  
BY FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  
 

 
 
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