440
FXUS66 KLOX 251733
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
933 AM PST SUN JAN 25 2026
SYNOPSIS
24/1147 PM.
A SLOW WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TODAY WITH SANTA ANA WINDS. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE 4 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL MONDAY AND
TUESDAY. IT WILL BE COOLER WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER
WARMING TREND FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)
25/927 AM.
***UPDATE***
ALL WIND ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN EXPIRED AS OFFSHORE WINDS HAVE
DROPPED OFF AS WELL AS OVERALL BEING SLIGHTLY WEAKER THAN
EXPECTED. OTHERWISE THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK.
***FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***
OFFSHORE FLOW HAS PUSHED ALL OF THE LOW CLOUDS AWAY FROM MOST OF
THE AREA, BUT IT HAS BROUGHT CLOUDS FROM THE SAN JOAQUIN VLY
INTO SLO VLY. SKIES OTHERWISE WILL TURN PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY AS
A GRIP OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS MOVES OVER THE AREA. LOOK FOR 2 TO
4 DEGREES OF WARMING TODAY EXCEPT FOR THE ANTELOPE VLY AND NRN
MTNS WHERE COOL AIR FROM THE INTERIOR WILL BRING 2 TO 4 DEGREES OF
COOLING. MAX TEMPS WILL END UP NEAR NORMAL TODAY.
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO BELOW NORMAL (DUE TO CLEAR SKIES AND
VERY DRY AIR) AND MAY EVEN BE NEEDED TO ADJUSTED DOWN SOME AFTER
THIS MORNING'S LOWS HAVE BEEN REPORTED.
MONDAY WILL BE VERY PLEASANT. A RIDGE WILL BUILD IN AND WEAK
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPS
WILL RISE 2 TO 4 DEGREES AND WILL END UP 2 TO 3 DEGREES OVER
NORMAL FOR MOST AREAS.
THE RIDGE WILL COVER THE STATE ON TUESDAY. HGT WILL BUMP UP TO
580 DAM WHICH IS WELL ABOVE THE AVERAGE LATE JAN HGTS OF 570 DAM.
OFFSHORE FLOW FROM THE EAST WILL KICK UP TO ABOUT 4 MB WHILE THE
PUSH FROM THE NORTH WILL NOT CHANGE MUCH AND WILL ONLY BE AROUND 2
MB. THERE WILL BE SOME CANYON WINDS BUT THEY WILL NOT BE CLOSE TO
ADVISORY LEVELS. CHAMBER OF COMMERCE CONDITIONS FOR THE DAY WITH
SUNNY SKIES AND CST/VLY MAX TEMPS WILL RANGE FROM 67 TO 73
DEGREES.
LONG TERM (WED-SAT)
25/308 AM.
WEDNESDAY WILL BE A CLOUDY AND COOLER DAY AS A WEAK TROF AND FRONT
PASSES JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA. THERE IS A SMALL RISK OF AN
INSIGNIFICANT SHOWER OVER SLO COUNTY. THE LIFT FROM THE TROF WILL
GENERATE A HEALTHY MARINE LAYER CLOUD DECK AND THE TROF WILL BRING
PLENTY OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS TO THE AREA. THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
SWITCH TO WEAK ONSHORE. MAX TEMPS WILL DROP 3 TO 6 DEGREES AND
WILL END UP IN THE MID 60S TO THE LOWER 70S.
RIDGING MOVES INTO THE STATE ON THURSDAY AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL DEVELOP AS WELL AND WILL BE
STRONGEST ON FRIDAY WHERE SOME ADVISORY LEVEL GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE.
THE RIDGING AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL COMBINE TO BRING TWO DAYS OF
WARMING AND BY FRIDAY MAX TEMPS WILL ALMOST ALL BE IN THE 70S
ACROSS THE CSTS AND VLYS WHICH IS 4 TO 6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
SATURDAY'S TEMPS WILL BE SIMILAR TO FRIDAY'S.
AVIATION
25/1123Z.
AT 1010Z AT KLAX, THERE WAS NO MARINE LAYER NOR AN INVERSION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAFS, XCP KPRB WHERE FLIGHT CAT CHANGES COULD
BE OFF BY 90 MINUTES.
LIGHT TURBULENCE POSSIBLE OVER AND NEAR HIER TERRAIN ACROSS LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES THRU 18Z.
KLAX...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF. NO SIGNIFICANT EAST WIND COMPONENT
IS EXPECTED.
KBUR...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.
MARINE
25/928 AM.
FOR THE OUTER WATERS, MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT
FORECAST. THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF LOCALIZED EASTERLY GUSTS TO 25
KTS NEAR THE CHANNEL ISLANDS THIS MORNING TO THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS. TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) LEVELS. EXPECTING WINDS TO
INCREASE WEDNESDAY, WITH LOWER CONFIDENCE IN WHEN WINDS WILL
BEGIN REACHING SCA LEVELS. BETTER CHANCES FOR AREAS OF SCA WINDS
THURSDAY, EXTENDING INTO THE WEEKEND. SEAS WILL ALSO INCREASE LATE
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY, REACHING 10 TO 12 FEET.
FOR THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF POINT SAL, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. THERE IS A 30% CHANCE FOR SCA
LEVEL NORTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY MORNING, AND SEAS MAY REACH 10 FEET
AS EARLY AS THURSDAY MORNING.
FOR THE INNER WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MODERATE CONFIDENCE
IN CURRENT FORECAST. FOR THE NEAR-SHORE WATERS FROM OXNARD TO
SANTA MONICA, THERE IS ABOUT A 30-40% CHANCE NORTHEAST WINDS
NEARING SCA LEVEL GUSTS SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS AND SEAS WILL
REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
PUBLIC...RORKE/SCHOENFELD
AVIATION...RORKE
MARINE...PHILLIPS/SCHOENFELD
SYNOPSIS...MW/CC
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page