050
FXUS66 KLOX 260528
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
928 PM PST SUN JAN 25 2026
SYNOPSIS
25/658 PM.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARDS THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH ABOVE
NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS EXPECTED MUCH OF THE WEEK AND PEAKING OVER
THE WEEKEND. PERIODS OF MODERATE SANTA ANA WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE
HILLS AND FAVORED MOUNTAINS. A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING
SOME COOLING, INCREASED CLOUD COVER, AND LIGHT SHOWERS TO SAN LUIS
OBISPO COUNTY ON WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM (TDY-TUE)
25/730 PM.
***UPDATE***
A LARGE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE WEST
COAST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT, SHIFTING FURTHER EAST AND WEAKENING AS
AN UPPER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MOVE OVER THE PAC NW
AND NORTHERN CALIFORNIA. FOR TONIGHT, A WEAK IMPULSE ALOFT WILL
MOVE OVER THE REGION, SPREADING HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT
INTO MONDAY MORNING. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY (WITH ADDITIONAL WARMING LATER IN THE WEEK).
HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE IN THE 60S TO 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA, OUTSIDE OF THE MOUNTAINS. PERIODS OF MAINLY WEAK SANTA ANA
WINDS ARE EXPECTED, STRONGEST TUESDAY MORNING.
WHILE LAST NIGHT'S LOWS WERE QUITE CHILLY IN MANY AREAS, TONIGHT
SHOULD SEE WARMER LOWS DUE TO THE INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS.
***FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***
BENIGN WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FOR THE FORECAST PERIOD. WEAK
OFFSHORE WINDS THROUGH TUESDAY AND A POP-UP RIDGE WILL YIELD A
GRADUAL WARMING TREND. SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY
WILL RISING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY TUESDAY. PERIODS OF MODERATE
SANTA ANA WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE HILLS AND FAVORED MOUNTAINS
ACROSS LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTY, WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
REACHING ADVISORY LEVEL ON TUESDAY MORNING. CLOUD COVERAGE WILL BE
THE GREATEST TODAY, WITH AMPLE SUNSHINE EXPECTED FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AND HIGHS IN THE HIGH 60S TO LOW 70S.
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING A FEW
DEGREES OF COOLING, INCREASED CLOUD COVER, AND A 10-20% CHANCE OF
LIGHT SHOWERS TO SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY. ADDITIONALLY NORTH-
NORTHEAST WINDS WILL NEAR ADVISORY LEVEL ACROSS THE CENTRAL COAST
AND POSSIBLE FOR THE SANTA ANA WIND CORRIDOR IN LA/VENTURA
COUNTIES.
LONG TERM (WED-SAT)
25/238 PM.
BEHIND THE WEAK FRONT ANOTHER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD STARTING
THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND, AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE
AGAIN TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL. TEMPERATURES WILL MOSTLY BE IN THE
70S THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES, AND
GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE TYPICALLY WINDY
AREAS. MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS STILL EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST THE
END OF THE MONTH.
AVIATION
26/0527Z.
AT 0455Z AT KLAX, THERE WAS NO MARINE LAYER NOR AN INVERSION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAFS, EXCEPT KPRB WHERE THERE IS A 30 PERCENT
CHC OF LIFR CONDS 11Z-17Z.
KLAX...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF. NO SIGNIFICANT EAST WIND COMPONENT
IS EXPECTED.
KBUR...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.
MARINE
25/712 PM.
FOR THE OUTER WATERS, MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT
FORECAST. THROUGH TUESDAY, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) LEVELS. EXPECTING WINDS TO
INCREASE WEDNESDAY, WITH A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SCA GUSTS FOR
THE OUTER WATERS, HIGHEST OVER PZZ673. THE SCA WINDS MAY CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY. SEAS WILL ALSO INCREASE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY, REACHING 10 TO 13 FEET. THE SCA LEVEL SEAS WILL PERSIST
INTO FRIDAY MORNING, BEFORE DECREASING OVER THE WEEKEND.
FOR THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF POINT SAL, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. THERE IS A 10-20% CHANCE OF SCA
LEVEL NORTHEAST WINDS THURSDAY MORNING, AND SEAS MAY EXCEED 10
FEET AS EARLY AS THURSDAY MORNING AND PERSIST NEAR OR ABOVE 10
FEET THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
FOR THE INNER WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MODERATE CONFIDENCE
IN CURRENT FORECAST. WINDS AND SEAS WILL REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS
THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH A 20% CHANCE OF LOCALIZED NE SCA LEVEL
GUSTS NEARSHORE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
PUBLIC...SCHOENFELD/CILIBERTI
AVIATION...RORKE
MARINE...CILIBERTI
SYNOPSIS...SCHOENFELD/CC
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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