701
FXUS66 KLOX 261700
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
900 AM PST MON JAN 26 2026
SYNOPSIS
26/857 AM.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARDS TODAY AND TOMORROW, WITH ABOVE
NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS EXPECTED MUCH OF THE WEEK, PEAKING OVER THE
WEEKEND. PERIODS OF SANTA ANA WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE HILLS AND
MOUNTAINS, AND A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME COOLING AND
INCREASED CLOUDS TO THE AREAS ON WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM (TDY-WED)
26/900 AM.
***UPDATE***
HIGH CLOUDS ARE STARTING TO MOVE OUT THE REGION STARTING ALONG THE
CENTRAL COAST, WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS
TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE ON TRACK TO WARM SLIGHTLY FOR VENTURA AND
LOS ANGELES COUNTIES.
***FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***
A WEAK TROF WILL MOVE OVER THE STATE WITH 572 DAM HGTS. AT THE SFC
THERE WILL BE A MB OR 2 OF OFFSHORE FLOW. CIRRUS CLOUDS DRIFTING
OVERHEAD WILL BRING PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO THE AREA
TODAY. RISING HGTS, SLIGHTLY LESS CLOUD COVER AND CONTINUED
OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BRING 2 TO 4 DEGREES OF WARMING TO MOST OF VTA
AND LA COUNTIES WHILE SLO AND SBA COUNTIES WILL NOT SEE MUCH
CHANGE FROM YDY. MAX TEMPS TODAY WILL END UP MOSTLY BETWEEN 67 AND
73 DEGREES ACROSS THE CSTS AND VLYS.
RIDGING ALONG WITH 580 DAM HGTS WILL ARRIVE TUESDAY AS WELL AS AN
INCREASE IN OFFSHORE FLOW. THE OFFSHORE WILL GENERATE SOME CANYON
WINDS BUT THEY WILL BE WELL BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS. SKIES WILL BE
MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPS WILL RISE 1 TO 3 DEGREES AND MOST CST/VLY
AREAS WILL HAVE MAX TEMPS IN THE UPPER 60S TO MID 70S WHICH ARE 3
TO 6 DEGREES OVER NORMAL.
A LITTLE TROF RIPPLES OVER THE STATE ON WEDNESDAY AND PUSHES THE
RIDGE TO THE EAST. HGTS WILL FALL TO 576 DAM. A LARGE MASS OF MID
AND HIGH CLOUDS WILL OVERSPREAD THE AREA AND IT WILL BE A MOSTLY
CLOUDY DAY. THE TAIL END OF A FRONT WILL WASH OUT OVER SLO COUNTY
AND THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHC OF LIGHT RAIN FOR THE COUNTY. MAX
TEMPS WILL DIP 4 TO 6 DEGREES, BUT WILL STILL BE A FEW DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM (THU-SUN)
26/240 AM.
RIDGING AND OFFSHORE FLOW DEVELOP IN THE WAKE OF WEDNESDAY'S TROF
PASSAGE. THE LATEST MDL GUIDANCE SHOWS A MUCH STRONGER OFFSHORE
PUSH THAN EARLIER RUNS. IF THIS HOLDS TRUE THERE WILL LIKELY BE
ADVISORY LEVEL GUSTS IN THE MORNING IN THE USUAL SANTA ANA WIND
AREAS. ANOTHER 3 TO 4 DEGREES OF WARMING WILL BRING MOST MAX TEMPS
UP INTO THE 70S WHICH IS 5 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
THE RIDGING AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE FRI INTO SAT. THERE
WILL BE A FEW MORE DEGREES OF WARMING ON FRIDAY WHICH WILL BRING
SOME AREAS INTO THE LOWER 80S. MAX TEMPS WILL BE 8 TO 12 DEGREES
OVER NORMAL. THERE WILL BE LITTLE CHANGE IN THE CONDITIONS
SATURDAY.
A SWITCH TO ONSHORE FLOW ON SUNDAY WILL BRING SOME MARINE LAYER
CLOUDS BACK TO THE AREA AS WELL AS A 2 TO 3 DEGREE COOLING.
LOOKING FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD BOTH AI MDLS SHOW NO RAIN THROUGH
THE 9TH OF FEBRUARY.
AVIATION
26/1040Z.
AT 1005Z AT KLAX, THERE WAS NO MARINE LAYER NOR AN INVERSION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAFS, EXCEPT KPRB WHERE THERE IS A 20 PERCENT
CHC OF LIFR CONDS THROUGH 17Z.
KLAX...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF. NO SIGNIFICANT EAST WIND COMPONENT
IS EXPECTED.
KBUR...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.
MARINE
26/858 AM.
FOR THE OUTER WATERS, MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT
FORECAST. THROUGH TUESDAY, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) LEVELS. EXPECTING WINDS TO
INCREASE WEDNESDAY, WITH A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SCA GUSTS FOR
THE OUTER WATERS, HIGHEST OVER PZZ673. THE SCA WINDS MAY CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY. SEAS WILL ALSO INCREASE LATE WEDNESDAY INTO
THURSDAY, REACHING 10 TO 12 FEET. THE SCA LEVEL SEAS WILL PERSIST
INTO FRIDAY MORNING, BEFORE DECREASING OVER THE WEEKEND.
FOR THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF POINT SAL, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. THERE IS A 10-20% CHANCE OF SCA
LEVEL NORTHEAST WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING, AND
SEAS MAY EXCEED 10 FEET AS EARLY AS THURSDAY MORNING AND PERSIST
NEAR OR ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
FOR THE INNER WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MODERATE CONFIDENCE
IN CURRENT FORECAST. OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
NEAR SHORE COASTAL WATERS OFF THE VENTURA COUNTY COAST TO MALIBU
EACH MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY, VARYING IN STRENGTH. THESE WINDS
SHOULD MOSTLY REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
PUBLIC...RORKE/SCHOENFELD
AVIATION...RORKE
MARINE...PHILLIPS/CILIBERTI
SYNOPSIS...SCHOENFELD/CC
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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