607
FXUS66 KLOX 270001
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
401 PM PST MON JAN 26 2026
SYNOPSIS
26/1157 AM.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND UPWARDS THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH ABOVE
NORMAL DAYTIME HIGHS EXPECTED MUCH OF THE WEEK, PEAKING OVER THE
WEEKEND. PERIODS OF SANTA ANA WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE HILLS AND
MOUNTAINS, AND A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM ON WEDNESDAY WILL BRING A
DROP IN TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED CLOUDS TO THE AREA.
SHORT TERM (TDY-THU)
26/1241 PM.
TODAY AND TUESDAY WILL SEE WARMING TEMPERATURES EACH DAY AS A
WEAK RIDGE POPS UP OVER THE REGION. ADDITIONALLY SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENTS AND THUS OFFSHORE WINDS ACROSS LA AND VENTURA COUNTIES
MAY INCREASE ON TUESDAY, FURTHER CONTRIBUTING TO THE WARMING
TEMPERATURES. EVEN WITH SLIGHTLY STRONG WINDS, MOST AREAS WILL
REMAIN BELOW WIND ADVISORY LEVEL. EXPECT MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S THOUGH TUESDAY.
EARLY WEDNESDAY, A WEAK FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING A SLIGHT 5-15%
CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE NORTHWESTERN PORTION OF SAN LUIS OBISPO
COUNTY. ADDITIONALLY ALL AREAS WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN CLOUD
COVER, ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING. OFFSHORE NORTHEAST FLOW
WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER AND EXTEND TO NORTHERN AREAS, IN
PARTICULAR THE SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS ALONG THE
CENTRAL COAST. WEDNESAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING, WINDS ARE
LIKELY TO REACH ADVISORY LEVEL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL
COAST AND THE TYPICAL SANTA WIND CORRIDOR IN LA/VENTURA COUNTIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RISE ON THURSDAY, WITH MOST AREAS
EXPECTED TO SEE HIGHS IN THE 70S.
LONG TERM (FRI-MON)
26/1238 PM.
RIDGING AND WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW WILL CONTINUE FRI INTO SAT. THERE
WILL BE A FEW MORE DEGREES OF WARMING ON FRIDAY, WHICH WILL BRING
SOME AREAS INTO THE LOWER 80S. MAX TEMPS WILL BE 8 TO 12 DEGREES
OVER NORMAL. THERE WILL BE LITTLE CHANGE IN THE CONDITIONS
SATURDAY.
A SWITCH TO ONSHORE FLOW ON SUNDAY WILL BRING SOME MARINE LAYER
CLOUDS BACK TO THE AREA AS WELL AS A 2 TO 5 DEGREE COOLING WITH
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 70S.
A MODERATE TO STRONG SANTA ANA WIND EVENT IS POSSIBLE ROUGHLY
NEXT TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY (FEB 3 AND 4).
LOOKING FURTHER DOWN THE ROAD, DRY WEATHER WILL LIKELY PREVAIL
THROUGH AT LEAST FEBRUARY 9TH.
AVIATION
27/0000Z.
AT 2336Z AT KLAX, THERE WAS NO MARINE LAYER NOR AN INVERSION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAFS, EXCEPT KPRB WHERE THERE IS A 20 PERCENT
CHC OF VFR CONDS PERSISTING THROUGH THE PERIOD.
KLAX...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF. THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF AN 8 KT
EAST WIND BETWEEN 05Z-08Z TUE, OTHERWISE GOOD CONFIDENCE THAT ANY
EAST WIND COMPONENT REMAINS BELOW 6 KT.
KBUR...HIGH CONFIDENCE IN TAF.
MARINE
26/1157 AM.
FOR THE OUTER WATERS, MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT
FORECAST. THROUGH TUESDAY, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
BELOW SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA) LEVELS. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
WEDNESDAY, WITH A 30-40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SCA GUSTS, HIGHEST OVER
PZZ673. THE SCA WINDS MAY CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. SEAS WILL ALSO
INCREASE STARTING ON WEDNESDAY AND REACHING 10 TO 12 FEET ON
THURSDAY. SCA LEVEL SEAS WILL PERSIST INTO FRIDAY, BEFORE
DECREASING OVER THE WEEKEND.
FOR THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF POINT SAL, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. THERE IS A 20-30% CHANCE OF SCA
LEVEL NORTHEAST WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING, AND
SEAS MAY EXCEED 10 FEET AS EARLY AS THURSDAY MORNING AND PERSIST
NEAR OR ABOVE 10 FEET THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.
FOR THE INNER WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MODERATE CONFIDENCE
IN CURRENT FORECAST. AREAS OF GUSTY OFFSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
FOR THE NEAR SHORE COASTAL WATERS OFF THE VENTURA COUNTY COAST TO
MALIBU EACH MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY. THESE WINDS SHOULD MOSTLY
REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...NONE.
PUBLIC...SCHOENFELD/MUNROE/RORKE
AVIATION...LUND
MARINE...PHILLIPS/SCHOENFELD
SYNOPSIS...SCHOENFELD/CC
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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