827
FXUS66 KLOX 282217
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
217 PM PST WED JAN 28 2026
SYNOPSIS
28/111 PM.
SKIES WILL BE CLEAR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS EXCEPT FOR SOME HIGH
CLOUDS AT TIMES. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB EACH DAY THROUGH
SATURDAY, WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING INTO THE 70S AND 80S. LOCALLY
BREEZY SANTA ANA WINDS ARE LIKELY LATE TONIGHT INTO THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM (TDY-SAT)
28/200 PM.
A TYPICAL LA NINA PATTERN IS IN FULL EFFECT ACROSS SOUTHWEST
CALIFORNIA WITH SEMI-PERMINENT HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EASTERN
PACIFIC DEFLECTING STORMS WELL NORTH INTO CANADA.
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK, MODERATE OFFSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH A
WARM AIR MASS WILL PUSH HIGH TEMPERATURES TO NEAR OR POSSIBLY
ABOVE DAILY RECORDS. LOCAL TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S ACROSS LA/VENTURA COUNTY COAST AND VALLEYS, WITH A
ABOUT A 10% CHANCE OF REACHING 90 ON THE WARMEST DAYS WHICH ARE
EXPECTED TO BE FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. VERY WARM FOR THE CENTRAL
COAST AS WELL, ESPECIALLY AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE COAST WITH HIGHS
IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S WHICH WOULD BE CLOSE TO RECORDS THERE AS
WELL. OVERALL, HIGHS WILL BE 13-18 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
BREEZY SANTA ANA WINDS HAVE ALREADY RETURNED TODAY ACROSS MAINLY
THE MOUNTAIN AND FOOTHILL REGIONS OF LA/VENTURA COUNTIES AS WELL
AS THE SANTA LUCIA MOUNTAINS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED
TONIGHT AS THERE IS SLIGHTLY STRONGER AND BETTER ALIGNMENT OF
NORTHEAST WINDS ALOFT, BUT AT BEST THIS LOOKS LIKE A LOW END WIND
ADVISORY FOR THOSE SAME AREAS. MAY NEED ANOTHER ONE FOR LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS WELL.
LONG TERM (SUN-WED)
28/211 PM.
OVERALL THE WARM AND DRY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK
BUT WITH A LITTLE DIP IN TEMPERATURES SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A WEAK
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE PAC NW AND GRADIENTS TURN LIGHTLY ONSHORE.
BUT EVEN DURING THIS PERIOD TEMPERATURES WILL STILL BE AT LEAST
3-6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
THE REST OF NEXT WEEK WILL BE VERY WARM, ESPECIALLY TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES
THAN THIS WEEK DEPENDING ON THE TRACK OF A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
DROPPING THROUGH THE GREAT BASIN. SOME SOLUTIONS SWING THE LOW
BACK TOWARDS SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA NEXT WEDNESDAY WHICH COULD FORCE
SOME COLD AIR ADVECTION INTO THE AREA, BUT MORE SOLUTIONS FAVOR A
FARTHER EAST TRAJECTORY WHICH WOULD RESULT IN WARMER TEMPS
LOCALLY. EITHER WAY, NO CHANCES FOR ANY RAIN NEXT WEEK AND LIKELY
THROUGH AT LEAST THE FIRST 10 DAYS OF FEBRUARY.
AVIATION
28/1752Z.
AROUND 17Z AT KLAX, THERE WAS A SURFACE-BASED INVERSION. THE TOP
OF THE INVERSION WAS AT 800 FT WITH A TEMP OF 17 DEG C.
HI CONFIDENCE IN THE 18Z TAFS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD, EXCEPT FOR A LOW CHANCE (20%) OF VLIFR
CONDITIONS AT KPRB AFTER 12Z TONIGHT.
KLAX...HI CONFIDENCE IN THE 18Z TAF. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD. ANY EASTERLY WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LESS THAN 7
KNOTS.
KBUR...HI CONFIDENCE IN THE 18Z TAF. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
28/1227 PM.
GENERALLY MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE CURRENT FORECAST.
FOR THE WATERS SOUTH AND WEST OF THE CHANNEL ISLANDS, THERE IS A
HIGH- TO- LIKELY (50-70 PERCENT) CHANCE OF SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
(SCA) LEVEL WINDS THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDS SHOULD BE BELOW
SCA LEVELS FOR THE NORTHERN INNER AND OUTER WATERS DURING THE
PERIOD. FOR FRIDAY THROUGH MON NIGHT, CONDS WILL LARGELY REMAIN
BELOW SCA LEVELS, EXCEPT FOR AN INCREASE IN SEAS TO SCA LEVELS BY
LATER SUN OR SUN NIGHT.
INSIDE THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BIGHT, WIND AND SEAS WILL VERY
LIKELY REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH THIS EVENING, THEN AREAS
OF NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS TO SCA LEVELS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
NEARSHORE COASTAL WATERS OFF THE VENTURA COUNTY COAST TO MALIBU
EACH NIGHT AND MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. CONDS SHOULD THEN
BE BELOW SCA LEVELS FRI THROUGH MON NIGHT.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 2 PM PST THURSDAY FOR
ZONES 342-375-379. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR ZONES 645-670-673-676. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO NOON PST FRIDAY
FOR ZONE 655. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC...MW
AVIATION...SIRARD
MARINE...SIRARD
SYNOPSIS...MW
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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