826
FNUS76 KLOX 040347
FWSLOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHARLTON FLAT RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
747 PM PST TUE FEB 3 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MONDAY, FEBRUARY 9TH APPEARS TO BE A TRANSITION DAY FROM WEAK
RIDGING TO A COLD TROUGH SWINGING SOUTH DOWN THE CALIFORNIA COAST.
THIS FEATURE CREATES QUITE A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY WITH THE TIMING AND
MAGNITUDE OF THE WINDS, BUT CONFIDENCE IS MODERATE-HIGH IN
INCREASING SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AT SOME POINT MONDAY AND
CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY, PEAKING MONDAY AND TUESDAY IN
STRENGTH. THERE IS A 30 PERCENT CHANCE FOR RIDGETOP WINDS TO REACH
40-50 MPH MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, AND 20 FOOT
WINDS TO REACH 35-45 MPH.
MONDAY MORNING WILL FEATURE THE LOWEST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES (RH), AND
THERE IS A 10 PERCENT CHANCE FOR RHS TO DROP BELOW 25 PERCENT
MONDAY MORNING. THEN RHS SHOULD REBOUND QUICKLY AS INCREASING
ONSHORE FLOW WILL BRING COOLER AIR TO THE FORECAST AREA. THERE IS A
40% CHANCE FOR MINIMUM RH'S TO REMAIN ABOVE 70 PERCENT AFTER MONDAY
MORNING, AND MAX RHS COULD BE ABOVE 90 PERCENT.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AS EARLY AS MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH BETTER
CHANCES TUESDAY, BUT ANY RAIN WILL LIKELY BE ON THE LIGHTER SIDE.
STILL A RANGE OF OUTCOMES, BUT UNDER 1/4 INCH IS THE MOST LIKELY
SCENARIO. SNOW MAY BECOME AN ISSUE SOMETIME LATE MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY AS SNOW LEVELS WILL DROP LIKELY TO 4000-5500 FEET. VERY LOW
CONFIDENCE ON TIMING AND SNOW LEVELS, BUT ANY SNOW SHOULD BE LIGHT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY, THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
LATER IN THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-45 PERCENT IN THE MORNING BEFORE WINDS
SWITCH TO ONSHORE.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST-NORTHEAST 0-3 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 5 MPH,
SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST-NORTHEAST 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH,
SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST-NORTHEAST 10-12 WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH,
SHIFTING TO SOUTHWEST 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS
TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 12-18 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6-8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 10 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 12-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 18-22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND/OR LIGHT SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST 10-12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH,
DECREASING TO 5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 9 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 20-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH,
DECREASING TO 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 18 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST-SOUTHWEST 25-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH,
DECREASING TO 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20-25 MPH, BECOMING 12-18 IN THE AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...LEWIS
REQUESTED BY...GABRIEL GUDINO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601558.1/LOX
.DELDT 02/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL GABRIEL.GUDINO@USDA.GOV,TBUCK190@GMAIL.COM
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