294
FXUS66 KLOX 070447
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
847 PM PST FRI MAR 6 2026
SYNOPSIS
06/440 PM.
MODERATE TO STRONG SANTA ANA WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY,
WITH WIDESPREAD GUSTY CONDITIONS EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES ON SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE 80S. BRIEFLY
COOLER CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH ANOTHER WARM
AND DRY SPELL EXPECTED TO START ON WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM (FRI-MON)
06/846 PM.
***UPDATE***
ANOTHER WARM WINDY DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S AND 70S FOR THE
COASTS AND VALLEYS. WINDS GUSTED TO 55 MPH FOR THE SANTA MONICA
MOUNTAINS, AND TO THE MID 60S FOR THE SANTA SUSANA AND SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAINS. CURRENT WIND ADVISORIES AND HIGH WIND WARNINGS LOOK ON
TRACK FOR THE NEXT ROUND OF WIND DEVELOPING OVERNIGHT TONIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, WINDS SATURDAY LOOK A BIT MORE
WIDESPREAD, WITH AREAS OUTSIDE OF THE TYPICAL SANTA ANA WIND
CORRIDOR SEEING GUSTS INCLUDING THE LA BASIN AND THE SAN GABRIEL
VALLEY. WILL NEED TO MONITOR FOR THE POTENTIAL OF STRONG WINDS DUE
TO MOUNTAIN WAVE ACTIVITY FOR THE SOUTHWEST FACING SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAIN FOOTHILLS, AS SOME HIGH RESOLUTION GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTING
THIS IS A POSSIBILITY.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM NICELY FOR THE WEEKEND SUPPORTED BY GUSTY
OFFSHORE WINDS. HIGHS FOR SATURDAY WERE WARMED 2-5 DEGREES FOR THE
VENTURA COAST AND MOUNTAINS, AS THESE AREAS ENDED UP QUITE WARM
TODAY. OTHERWISE, CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK.
***FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***
A DRY (INSIDE SLIDER) LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS IMPACTING THE
REGION, RESULTING IN A MODERATE TO STRONG SANTA ANA WIND EVENT
THROUGH SUNDAY. OFFSHORE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENTS WILL COMBINE
WITH UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT TO DRIVE WINDS AT THE SURFACE. WINDS
WILL PEAK IN STRENGTH AND COVERAGE ON SATURDAY, WHEN GUSTY
NORTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL OCCUR ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES, INCLUDING PORTIONS OF CATALINA ISLAND.
WARNING LEVEL WIND GUSTS (60 TO 70 MPH) ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
SATURDAY ACROSS THE SANTA SUSANA MOUNTAINS AND THE SAN GABRIEL
MOUNTAINS (INCLUDING THE HIGHWAY 14 CORRIDOR). ADVISORY LEVEL
WINDS ARE EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. ON SUNDAY, THE TYPICAL SANTA ANA
WIND CORRIDOR WILL SEE ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS WILL A 50% CHANCE OF
REACHING ADVISORY LEVEL (GUSTS TO 35 MPH) ACROSS THE LA BASIN AND
SAN GABRIEL VALLEY. THE WINDS WILL LIKELY CAUSE HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS DUE TO CROSSWINDS AND DEBRIS ON THE ROAD, AND DOWNED
TREES AND POWER LINES. PLEASE SEE THE LAXNPWLOX PRODUCT FOR
ADDITIONAL DETAILS.
THE OFFSHORE FLOW WILL YIELD SIGNIFICANT WARMING TREND FOR THE
WEEKEND. HIGHS SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S ACROSS
THE COAST AND VALLEYS (10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL). ON SUNDAY
MID TO UPPER 80S WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE COASTS AND
VALLEYS (12 TO 18 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL). CALENDER DAY RECORDS ARE
MOSTLY IN THE 90S ON SUNDAY, SO IT WILL BE DIFFICULT BUT NOT
IMPOSSIBLE TO BREAK RECORDS. MINOR TO MODERATE HEAT IMPACTS WILL
BE POSSIBLE, MAINLY FOR OUTDOOR WORKERS AND THOSE WITHOUT AIR
CONDITION. THERE IS A SMALL (20%) CHANCE THAT HEAT ADVISORIES
WILL BE NEEDED FOR SUNDAY ACROSS COASTS AND VALLEYS OF LA AND
VENTURA COUNTIES. EXPECT SUNNIES SKIES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
VERY DRY HUMIDITY. OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE LOWER THAN
NORMAL ACROSS WIND SHELTERED AREAS.
LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)
06/157 PM.
TUESDAY WILL LIKELY BE THE COOLEST DAY OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
ONSHORE FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE REGION AND COASTAL CLOUDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE DURING THE MORNING. EXPECT HIGHS TO MOSTLY BE IN THE LOW
70S FOR MOST COAST AND VALLEYS, THOUGH THIS WILL STILL BE A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ON WEDNESDAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL START TO
BUILD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS TO THE EAST AND OFFSHORE FLOW WILL
REDEVELOP FROM THE NORTH. THIS WILL YIELD A DRAMATIC WARMING
TREND, BRINGING MANY VALLEY AREA INTO THE 80S. LATE THIS WEEK
OFFSHORE FLOW IS FAVORED TO CONTINUE AND 500 MB HEIGHTS WILL
CONTINUE TO BUILD. BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, ANOTHER HEAT SPELL IS
EXPECTED TO BE UNDERWAY WITH MANY TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 80S
AND LOWER 90S. HIGHS WILL BE NEAR CALENDER DAY RECORDS, AND WE
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE NEED FOR HEAT ADVISORIES. RAIN IS NOT
EXPECTED FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, HOWEVER THERE ARE
INDICATIONS THAT HEAT WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO NEXT WEEK THROUGH
THE MIDDLE OF THE MONTH.
AVIATION
07/0037Z.
AT 2354Z AT KLAX, THERE WAS NO MARINE LAYER BUT THERE WAS AN
INVERSION WITH A TOP NEAR 1300 FEET AND A TEMPERATURE OF 20
DEGREES C.
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CAVU CONDITIONS AT ALL SITES FOR THE 00Z TAFS.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN WIND FORECAST FOR KCMA, OXR, KBUR, AND
KVNY WHERE GUSTS COULD DIFFER BY 5-10 KNOTS FROM FORECAST.
MODERATE TO OCCASIONALLY STRONG LLWS AND TURBULENCE IS LIKELY
OVER AND NEAR MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN ACROSS LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA
COUNTIES.
KLAX...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN THE 00Z TAF, WITH REDUCED CONFIDENCE
DUE TO WINDS. THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF N-NE CROSS WINDS REACHING
20 KTS AFTER 07/14Z. BETWEEN 12Z AND 21Z, THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF
EASTERLY WIND COMPONENT OVER 8 KNOTS.
KBUR...MODERATE CONFIDENCE THE 00Z TAF, WITH REDUCED CONFIDENCE
DUE TO THE WIND FORECAST. GUSTY NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED
BETWEEN AROUND 08Z TO 16Z, SHIFTING TO EASTERLY AFTER 16Z.
MARINE
06/844 PM.
FOR THE OUTER WATERS, MODERATE TO HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT
FORECAST. MODERATE CONFIDENCE THAT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY (SCA)
CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH LATE TONIGHT, ALTHOUGH THE SPEEDS
MAY DIP BELOW SCA LEVELS A FEW HOURS EARLIER. SCA LEVEL NE WINDS
ARE LIKELY ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN WATERS ON SATURDAY (PZZ676).
FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY, HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A COMBINATION OF SCA
LEVEL WINDS AND SEAS WITH A 30% CHANCE OF GALE FORCE WINDS. BEST
CHANCE ACROSS THE FAR NORTHERN OUTER WATERS. SCA CONDITIONS WILL
LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY.
FOR THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF POINT SAL, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. THROUGH SUNDAY, HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN WINDS AND SEAS REMAINING BELOW SCA LEVELS. FOR MONDAY AND
TUESDAY, THERE IS A 30-40% CHANCE OF A COMBINATION OF SCA LEVEL
WINDS AND SEAS. GOOD CONFIDENCE IN SEAS DROPPING WELL BELOW SCA
CRITERIA BY WEDNESDAY, BUT SIMILAR CHANCES FOR SCA WINDS WILL
LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE WORK WEEK.
FOR THE INNER WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. THROUGH SUNDAY, HIGH CONFIDENCE
IN SCA LEVEL NORTHEAST WINDS FROM VENTURA SOUTH TO SANTA MONICA,
AS WELL AS THE SAN PEDRO CHANNEL, DURING THE LATE NIGHT THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS WHILE WINDS AND SEAS REMAIN NEAR OR BELOW
SCA LEVELS ELSEWHERE. ADDITIONALLY, THERE IS A MODERATE CHANCE OF
LOCALIZED GALE FORCE WINDS FROM POINT MUGU TO MALIBU LATE TONIGHT
THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. FOR MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN WINDS AND SEAS REMAINING BELOW SCA LEVELS.
THERE IS A 40-50 PERCENT OF WINDS UP TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS TO 25
KNOTS REACHING AVALON SATURDAY MORNING, WITH WIND DRIVEN WAVES UP
TO 3 FEET POSSIBLE.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TO 6 PM PST SATURDAY FOR
ZONES 87-366>368-381-548. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
WIND ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST SUNDAY FOR ZONES
88-354-355-358-362-369>374-376>378. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM PST SATURDAY
FOR ZONES 375-379-380. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 PM SATURDAY TO 3 PM PST SUNDAY
FOR ZONES 375-379-380. (SEE LAXNPWLOX).
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 3 PM PST SATURDAY
FOR ZONES 650-655. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PST SATURDAY FOR
ZONE 670. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM PST THIS EVENING
FOR ZONES 673-676. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC...PHILLIPS/SCHOENFELD
AVIATION...CC
MARINE...BLACK/CC
SYNOPSIS...RS/CC
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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