241
FSUS46 KLOX 102104
QPSLOX
QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
203 PM PDT FRI APR 10 2026
PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 0500 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 1700.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 1700 ON DAY 1 ONLY.
LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.
THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: FRI APR 10 2026 THROUGH THU APR 16 2026.
17-20 20-23 23-02 02-05 | 05-11 11-17
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...
LSRC1:CAMBRIA LGT 0.0 LGT 0.0 | LGT LGT
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA LGT 0.0 LGT 0.0 | LGT LGT
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE 0.0 0.0 0.0 LGT | 0.0 LGT
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.05 0.05-0.10
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 1600-2000
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 20%
ISOLATED RATES AROUND 0.25 IN/HR POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
17-20 20-23 23-02 02-05 | 05-11 11-17
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...
SIYC1:SANTA MARIA LGT LGT LGT 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO LGT 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM LGT 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS LGT 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.05
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 1600-1900
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 20%
ISOLATED RATES AROUND 0.25 IN/HR POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
17-20 20-23 23-02 02-05 | 05-11 11-17
VENTURA COUNTY...
FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM LGT 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
VTUC1:VENTURA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MORC1:MOORPARK 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 1600-2000
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 20%
ISOLATED RATES AROUND 0.0 IN/HR POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
17-20 20-23 23-02 02-05 | 05-11 11-17
LOS ANGELES COUNTY...
WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT 0.0 0.0 0.0 LGT | 0.0 0.0
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM 0.0 0.0 LGT LGT | 0.0 0.0
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
SAUC1:SAUGUS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
CQT:DOWNTOWN LA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
MLUC1:MALIBU BIG ROCK MESA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.0
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.05
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 0100-0400
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%
DISCUSSION:
MOST AREAS WILL SEE SOME RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON PERIOD
WHEN A WEAK FRONT PASSES OVER THE AREA AND POST FRONTAL SHOWERS MOVE
IN BEHIND IT. THIS IS A WEAK FRONT AND RAINFALL TOTALS ARE FORECAST
TO BE AROUND A HALF INCH ACROSS THE NW TIP OF SLO COUNTY AND A
QUARTER INCH FOR THE REST OF THE CENTRAL COAST. SOUTH OF PT
CONCEPTION WILL ONLY GET A TENTH OF AN INCH OR LESS.
HEAVIER RAIN IS LIKELY SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING
WHEN A MORE VIGOROUS FRONT WILL SWEEP OVER THE AREA. MOST AREAS WILL
LIKELY RECIEVE ABOUT A HALF INCH OF RAIN. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE
NATURE OF THIS SYSTEM, HOWEVER, LOCAL 1 INCH OR MORE TOTALS ARE
POSSIBLE. MOST RAINFALL RATES WILL BE BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.75 IN/HR BUT
HIGHER RATES WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER ANY TSTM THAT DEVELOPS.
LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH
INCONSEQUENTIAL TOTALS. DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THOUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY.
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