522
FSUS46 KLOX 111011
QPSLOX
QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
310 AM PDT SAT APR 11 2026
PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 1700 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 0500.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 0500 ON DAY 1 ONLY.
LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.
THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: SAT APR 11 2026 THROUGH FRI APR 17 2026.
05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 | 17-23 23-05
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...
LSRC1:CAMBRIA LGT LGT 0.0 LGT | 0.3 0.2
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA LGT LGT 0.0 LGT | 0.3 0.2
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE 0.0 0.0 0.0 LGT | LGT 0.5
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.05 0.05-0.10
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 1600-2000
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 20%
ISOLATED RATES AROUND 0.25 IN/HR POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 | 17-23 23-05
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...
SIYC1:SANTA MARIA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | LGT 0.3
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.4
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | LGT 0.5
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | LGT 0.6
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.3
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.05
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 1600-1900
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 20%
ISOLATED RATES AROUND 0.25 IN/HR POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 | 17-23 23-05
VENTURA COUNTY...
FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.2
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.2
MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.3
VTUC1:VENTURA CITY 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.1
MORC1:MOORPARK 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.1
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.1
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 1600-2000
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 20%
ISOLATED RATES AROUND 0.0 IN/HR POSSIBLE NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
05-08 08-11 11-14 14-17 | 17-23 23-05
LOS ANGELES COUNTY...
WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.2
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.1
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.2
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.2
SAUC1:SAUGUS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.1
CQT:DOWNTOWN LA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 LGT
MLUC1:MALIBU BIG ROCK MESA 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 | 0.0 0.1
1-HR RATES: COASTS/VALLEYS FOOTHILLS/MOUNTAINS
EXPECTED PEAK (IN/HR): 0.01-0.03 0.01-0.03
PROBABILITY 0.50+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PROBABILITY 1.00+ IN/HR: <5% <5%
PEAK RATES EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN: 0000-0300
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS: 0%
DISCUSSION:
MOST AREAS WILL BE DRY THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AND ANY RAIN THAT
DOES FALL WILL BE VERY LIGHT.
HEAVIER RAIN WILL OCCUR TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WHEN A
VIGOROUS FRONT SWEEPS OVER THE AREA. MOST AREAS WILL LIKELY RECIEVE
ABOUT A HALF INCH OF RAIN. DUE TO THE CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THIS
SYSTEM, HOWEVER, LOCAL 1 INCH OR MORE TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE. MOST
RAINFALL RATES WILL BE BETWEEN 0.25 TO 0.75 IN/HR BUT HIGHER RATES
WILL BE POSSIBLE UNDER ANY TSTM THAT DEVELOPS.
LINGERING SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING WITH
INCONSEQUENTIAL TOTALS. DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THOUGH AT LEAST
THURSDAY.
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