454
FXUS66 KLOX 250949
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
249 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2026
SYNOPSIS
25/1205 AM.
COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SCATTERED LIGHT
SHOWERS, MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRY WEATHER IS THEN
EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH
ANOTHER WEAK STORM POSSIBLE AROUND LATE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM (TDY-MON)
25/1205 AM.
A LITTLE UPPER LOW WITH 555 DAM CENTRAL HGTS WILL ZIP INTO SLO
COUNTY LATE THIS MORNING AND THEN PASS THROUGH KERN COUNTY DURING
THE AFTERNOON. THIS SYSTEM IS NEITHER VERY WET OR DYNAMIC, BUT
WILL LIKELY BRING SOME LIGHT RAIN TO ALMOST ALL OF THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON AND/OR EVENING. RAIN WILL LIKELY BE OFF AND ON DURING
THIS PERIOD. THE BEST CHC OF RAIN WILL BE OVER THE MTNS AND
FOOTHILLS. RAINFALL TOTALS WILL NOT BE IMPRESSIVE. MOST OF THE
AREA WILL ONLY SEE A TENTH OF AN INCH OF RAIN. THE MTNS AND
FOOTHILLS WILL BE A LITTLE WETTER WHERE AROUND A QUARTER INCH OF
RAIN IS POSSIBLE. GUSTY SW WINDS WILL AFFECT THE MTNS AND THE
INTERIOR LATER THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE CLOUDY DAY AS A
COMBINATION OF LOW MID AND HIGH CLOUDS MOVES OVER THE FORECAST
AREA. 5 TO 10 DEGREES OF COOLING WILL BRING MAX TEMPS ACROSS THE
CSTS/VLYS DOWN INTO THE 60S.
FAIRLY STRONG SW TO W WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ANTELOPE VLY
AND ITS FOOTHILLS THIS EVENING. THERE IS A ABOUT A 40 PERCENT CHC
OF THE GUSTS REACHING ADVISORY LEVELS OF 45 MPH. THE CHC OF RAIN
WILL DIMINISH TO ONLY A SLIGHT CHC AS THE EVENING TURNS TO NIGHT
AND THE STORM MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST.
THERE WILL BE MINIMAL THREAT OF SOME MORNING SHOWERS ON SUNDAY
JUST IN CAST THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT A LITTLE SLOWER THAN EXPECTED.
OTHERWISE, THE DAY WILL BE DRY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS. MOST AREAS
WILL SEE 1 TO 2 DEGREES OF WARMING BUT THE THE ANTELOPE VLY AND
NRN MTNS WILL COOL A BIT AS A COLD POOL OF AIR WILL LINGER.
WEAK TROFFING WILL COVER THE STATE ON MONDAY AND HGTS WILL BE A
BELOW NORMAL 564 DAM. SKIES WILL START OUT PARTLY CLOUDY, BUT WILL
TURN MOSTLY SUNNY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE EXTRA SUNSHINE WILL
BRING ABOUT 2 TO 4 DEGREES OF WARMING. DESPITE THIS WARMING MAX
TEMPS WILL END UP 4 TO 8 LOCALLY 10 DEGREES BLO NORMAL WITH MAX
TEMPS ONLY IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S ACROSS THE CSTS/VLYS.
LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)
25/243 AM.
BENIGN WEATHER ON TAP FOR MONDAY AS THE WEEKEND STORM PULLS
FURTHER TO THE EAST AND A WEAK RIDGE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES
WILL BE, AT WORST, PARTLY CLOUDY. 2 TO 4 DEGREES OF WARMING WILL
BRING CST/VLY MAX TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.
STILL NOT THE BEST MDL AGREEMENT BUT THERE IS DEFINITE
IMPROVEMENT. THE TREND TO LESSER CHANCES OF RAIN CONTINUES AS WELL
AS PUSHING THE TIMING BACK. NOW WEDNESDAY LOOKS DRY WITH ONLY A
BARE MINIMUM CHC OF LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND/OR THURSDAY
MORNING. AND EVEN IF IT DOES RAIN, RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
INSIGNIFICANT SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY FOR THE MOST PART WITH
A CHC FOR MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDS WITH THE RAIN CHANCES. LOOK FOR
CLEARING SKIES AND WARMING FRIDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE
STATE.
MAX TEMPS WILL RISE TUE, WED AND FRI WITH ONLY MINIMAL COOLING ON
THURSDAY. FRIDAY'S MAX TEMPS WILL BE 3 TO 6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
WITH VLY HIGHS REACHING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S.
AVIATION
25/0948Z.
AT 0835Z AT KLAX, THE MARINE LAYER WAS 1200 FT DEEP. THE TOP OF
THE INVERSION WAS 1900 FT WITH A TEMP OF 14 C.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAFS. BKN-OVC MVFR TO LOW VFR CONDS WILL
DEVELOP AT ALL NON DESERT SITES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.
OCNL LIGHT RAIN IS LIKELY FROM 22Z ONWARD FOR MOST SITES.
KLAX...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF. CIGS WILL LIKELY VARY BETWEEN
025 AND 040 THROUGH THE DAY. ON AND OFF AGAIN RAIL WILL AFFECT THE
COMPLEX AFT 22Z. NO SIGNIFICANT EAST WIND COMPONENT EXPECTED.
KBUR...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF. CIGS WILL LIKELY VARY BETWEEN
025 AND 040 THROUGH THE DAY. ON AND OFF AGAIN RAIL WILL AFFECT THE
COMPLEX AFT 22Z. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHC OF -RA AFT 18Z.
MARINE
25/130 AM.
FOR THE OUTER WATERS, HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. ACROSS
THE WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, ESPECIALLY NEAR THE CHANNEL
ISLANDS, SCA WINDS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS
COULD DROP BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS AT TIMES THIS MORNING. FROM
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS. CHANCES FOR SCA LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE
FROM TUESDAY ONWARD.
FOR THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF POINT SAL, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WINDS AND SEAS
REMAINING BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH SUNDAY. CHANCES FOR SCA WINDS
WILL INCREASE EACH DAY NEXT WEEK.
FOR THE INNER WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. INCREASED CONFIDENCE IN SCA WINDS
ACROSS SB CHANNEL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SCA CONDTIONS MAY
ALSO OCCUR ACROSS THE WATERS SOUTH OF POINT MUGU. ON SUNDAY,
ONSHORE W WINDS WILL FLIRT WITH ADVISORY LEVELS ESPECIALLY
NEARSHORE DURING THE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING HOURS. SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SCA LEVEL WINDS EARLY NEXT WEEK FOCUSED ACROSS THE
USUALLY FAVORED WATERS WITH INCREASING CHANCES WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY.
A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING SPOTTY SHOWERS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
LATER THIS MORNING AND INTO THE EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHC OF THEM
LINGERING INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM PDT EARLY THIS
MORNING FOR ZONES 650-673-676. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2
AM PDT SUNDAY FOR ZONE 650. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC...RORKE
AVIATION...RORKE
MARINE...PHILLIPS/BLACK
SYNOPSIS...MW/CC
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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