027
FXUS66 KLOX 251620
AFDLOX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
920 AM PDT SAT APR 25 2026
SYNOPSIS
25/907 AM.
COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SCATTERED LIGHT
SHOWERS, MAINLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DRY WEATHER IS THEN
EXPECTED FOR MOST AREAS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH
ANOTHER WEAK STORM POSSIBLE AROUND LATE TUESDAY OR WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM (TDY-MON)
25/920 AM.
***UPDATE***
LOTS OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS TODAY AS A VERY WEAK UPPER LEVEL
SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE AREA. COULD GET A STRAY DROP OR TWO THIS
MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON BUT THE BEST CHANCE FOR ANY SORT OF
LIGHT MEASURABLE RAIN WOULD BE AT LEAST LATE AFTERNOON BUT MORE
LIKELY THIS EVENING. AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNDER A TENTH OF
AN INCH, WITH SOME AREAS, ESPECIALLY IN THE RAIN SHADOW OF THE
TRANSVERSE RANGE, GETTING NO MEASURABLE RAIN. IN ANY CASE, A VERY
LOW IMPACT EVENT.
***FROM PREVIOUS DISCUSSION***
GUSTY SW WINDS WILL AFFECT THE MTNS AND THE INTERIOR LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE CLOUDY DAY AS A COMBINATION OF LOW MID AND
HIGH CLOUDS MOVES OVER THE FORECAST AREA. 5 TO 10 DEGREES OF
COOLING WILL BRING MAX TEMPS ACROSS THE CSTS/VLYS DOWN INTO THE
60S.
FAIRLY STRONG SW TO W WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE ANTELOPE VLY
AND ITS FOOTHILLS THIS EVENING. THERE IS A ABOUT A 40 PERCENT CHC
OF THE GUSTS REACHING ADVISORY LEVELS OF 45 MPH. THE CHC OF RAIN
WILL DIMINISH TO ONLY A SLIGHT CHC AS THE EVENING TURNS TO NIGHT
AND THE STORM MOVES FURTHER TO THE EAST.
THERE WILL BE MINIMAL THREAT OF SOME MORNING SHOWERS ON SUNDAY
JUST IN CAST THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT A LITTLE SLOWER THAN EXPECTED.
OTHERWISE, THE DAY WILL BE DRY WITH DECREASING CLOUDS. MOST AREAS
WILL SEE 1 TO 2 DEGREES OF WARMING BUT THE THE ANTELOPE VLY AND
NRN MTNS WILL COOL A BIT AS A COLD POOL OF AIR WILL LINGER.
WEAK TROFFING WILL COVER THE STATE ON MONDAY AND HGTS WILL BE A
BELOW NORMAL 564 DAM. SKIES WILL START OUT PARTLY CLOUDY, BUT WILL
TURN MOSTLY SUNNY BY EARLY AFTERNOON. THE EXTRA SUNSHINE WILL
BRING ABOUT 2 TO 4 DEGREES OF WARMING. DESPITE THIS WARMING MAX
TEMPS WILL END UP 4 TO 8 LOCALLY 10 DEGREES BLO NORMAL WITH MAX
TEMPS ONLY IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S ACROSS THE CSTS/VLYS.
LONG TERM (TUE-FRI)
25/243 AM.
BENIGN WEATHER ON TAP FOR MONDAY AS THE WEEKEND STORM PULLS
FURTHER TO THE EAST AND A WEAK RIDGE MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. SKIES
WILL BE, AT WORST, PARTLY CLOUDY. 2 TO 4 DEGREES OF WARMING WILL
BRING CST/VLY MAX TEMPS INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S.
STILL NOT THE BEST MDL AGREEMENT BUT THERE IS DEFINITE
IMPROVEMENT. THE TREND TO LESSER CHANCES OF RAIN CONTINUES AS WELL
AS PUSHING THE TIMING BACK. NOW WEDNESDAY LOOKS DRY WITH ONLY A
BARE MINIMUM CHC OF LIGHT RAIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND/OR THURSDAY
MORNING. AND EVEN IF IT DOES RAIN, RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE
INSIGNIFICANT SKIES WILL BE PARTLY CLOUDY FOR THE MOST PART WITH
A CHC FOR MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDS WITH THE RAIN CHANCES. LOOK FOR
CLEARING SKIES AND WARMING FRIDAY AS A RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE
STATE.
MAX TEMPS WILL RISE TUE, WED AND FRI WITH ONLY MINIMAL COOLING ON
THURSDAY. FRIDAY'S MAX TEMPS WILL BE 3 TO 6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
WITH VLY HIGHS REACHING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S.
AVIATION
25/0948Z.
AT 0835Z AT KLAX, THE MARINE LAYER WAS 1200 FT DEEP. THE TOP OF
THE INVERSION WAS 1900 FT WITH A TEMP OF 14 C.
MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAFS. BKN-OVC MVFR TO LOW VFR CONDS WILL
DEVELOP AT ALL NON DESERT SITES AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY.
OCNL LIGHT RAIN IS LIKELY FROM 22Z ONWARD FOR MOST SITES.
KLAX...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF. CIGS WILL LIKELY VARY BETWEEN
025 AND 040 THROUGH THE DAY. ON AND OFF AGAIN RAIL WILL AFFECT THE
COMPLEX AFT 22Z. NO SIGNIFICANT EAST WIND COMPONENT EXPECTED.
KBUR...MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN TAF. CIGS WILL LIKELY VARY BETWEEN
025 AND 040 THROUGH THE DAY. ON AND OFF AGAIN RAIL WILL AFFECT THE
COMPLEX AFT 22Z. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHC OF -RA AFT 18Z.
MARINE
25/736 AM.
FOR THE OUTER WATERS, HIGH CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. FROM
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN BELOW SCA LEVELS. CHANCES FOR SCA LEVEL WINDS WILL INCREASE
FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON ONWARD. SEAS WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY ONWARD
AND FLIRT WITH ADVISORY LEVELS (10 FT) 30 NM FROM SHORE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY.
FOR THE INNER WATERS NORTH OF POINT SAL, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN WINDS AND SEAS
REMAINING BELOW SCA LEVELS THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. CHANCES FOR
SCA WINDS WILL INCREASE EACH DAY NEXT WEEK. SEAS ARE LIKELY TO
REMAIN BELOW ADVISORY LEVELS THROUGH THIS TIMEFRAME.
FOR THE INNER WATERS SOUTH OF POINT CONCEPTION, MODERATE TO HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN CURRENT FORECAST. SCA LEVEL W WINDS ARE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE SANTA BARBARA CHANNEL THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT.
WINDS WILL APPROACH ADVISORY LEVELS FOR THE WATERS SOUTH OF POINT
MUGU DURING THIS TIMEFRAME. THESE ONSHORE WINDS WILL OCCUR AGAIN
ON SUNDAY FOR THE SAME WATERS BUT COULD BE SLIGHTLY STRONGER.
ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FOR BOTH INNER WATERS ZONES SUNDAY
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING. GENERALLY MODERATE CHANCES FOR
SCA WINDS EACH AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE SB CHANNEL NEXT WEEK.
A WEAK SYSTEM WILL BRING SPOTTY SHOWERS ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS
TODAY INTO TONIGHT WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS LINGERING INTO
SUNDAY ESPECIALLY THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.
LOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CA...NONE.
PZ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 2
AM PDT SUNDAY FOR ZONE 650. (SEE LAXMWWLOX).
PUBLIC...MW/RORKE
AVIATION...RORKE
MARINE...BLACK
SYNOPSIS...MW/CC
WEATHER.GOV/LOSANGELES
EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AT:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ERH/GHWO?WFO=LOX
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