929
FNUS76 KLOX 202108
FWSLOX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SANTA ROSA ISLAND FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
208 PM PDT WED MAY 20 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A SHALLOW MARINE LAYER BELOW WARM AND DRY AIR WILL BRING SIGNIFICANTLY
DIFFERENT CONDITIONS FOR ELEVATIONS BELOW 500 FEET COMPARED TO THE
REST OF THE ISLAND THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. LOW CLOUDS AND DENSE
FOG ARE LIKELY TO DEVELOP ON THE ISLAND, BUT CHANCES ARE HIGHEST
NORTHWEST OF THE FIRE. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL, STRONGEST
THROUGH THURSDAY. WIND TIMING AND SPEEDS WILL NOT BE UNIFORM ACROSS
THE ISLAND. ALL OF THESE FACTORS WILL BRING LOWER CONFIDENCE IN THE
FORECAST THAN USUAL. MODERATE CONFIDENCE IN IMPROVING HUMIDITIES
EACH DAY, BUT STILL LOWER THAN USUAL FOR MAY. MORNING WINDS WILL BE
GENERALLY LIGHT BUT SOMEWHAT ERRATIC IN DIRECTIONS.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY EXCEPT FOR A 30% CHANCE OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS
AND DENSE FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76 EXCEPT 65-70 COOLER COASTS.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-40 PERCENT EXCEPT 45-60 PERCENT COOLER COASTS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-8 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR EXCEPT FOR A 50% CHANCE OF LOW CLOUDS AND
DENSE FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55, EXCEPT 55-60 IN THE HIGHER HILLS.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-100 PERCENT, EXCEPT 60-80 PERCENT IN THE HIGHER HILLS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH BECOMING
5-8 MPH LATE.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH BECOMING
10-15 MPH LATE.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH BECOMING
10-20 MPH LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY EXCEPT FOR A 60% CHANCE OF MORNING LOW CLOUDS
AND DENSE FOG.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-50 PERCENT EXCEPT 60-70 PERCENT COOLER COASTS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE 3-8 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1200 FT AGL.
FORECASTER...KITTELL
REQUESTED BY...DAVID HOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614040.0/LOX
.DELDT 05/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID_HOOD@FIRENET.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page